How to Bet in Roulette - The Smartest Strategy (Observation)

what should i bet on roulette

what should i bet on roulette - win

What bet should I make on the roulette table tonight?

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Hey Reddit, I'm in Atlantic City, what number(s) or combinations should I bet on on the roulette table? Numbers that get upvoted to the top will be bet on and each upvote will be a dollar!

Please post only one number otherwise I'll get people giving loads of numbers in one go and it'll just complicate things. I'll let you guys know how it goes!
Edit: i lost... you bastards! ah well it was money from my earlier winnings.. still on top 10 dollars!
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Old fart advice for young investors

There seems to be a lot of interest in stocks from young investors. I imagine that many will make their way from WSB to this sub because WSB is a bunch of monkeys flinging poo. You may have lost some money and now you want to explore stocks from less of a Meme and emotional perspective.
There is nothing wrong with Meme stocks. Meme stocks can be fun. I have had fun with it. I am also a 42-year-old man with rental properties, commercial properties, and a few small businesses. BB, NOK, AMC, and even GME are all fine. The DD is fine behind all of them. The issue is that if I lose $1,000 then I can write myself a check from one of my businesses for $10,000 to make myself feel better. That is not a brag...it is simply sharing that people come from different places in life.
You are just starting off life and probably have far fewer resources and every dollar matters more.
I challenge anyone to CMV but I am not a big proponent of stocks as a core investment strategy. Here are my reasons why.
  1. Information has a time-decay of value. Meaning that information becomes less valuable over time. Data is what is mined to often produce new Information. You are at a disadvantage when it comes to both data and information. The information that you get on a retail level has already lost much of its value. This is where the saying "if you read it in the news you are already too late"
  2. You have no power. You simply cannot compete with whales and whales don't become whales by letting people glean the crumbs that are leftover. They have the power to move markets, you don't.
  3. You have no control over outcomes. You have no control over the success of a company. You have no control over other investors. You have no control over anything.
  4. The odds on options are not that great. Even compared to blackjack our betting the outside of a roulette table they are just not that good.
  5. Many people that are far more intelligent than you are, lose money at stock investing.
  6. Your emotions and FOMO will be a hindrance and problematic.
  7. Most stock investors are too young to understand the market cycles
I like stocks as a small part of an overall investment strategy for young people for the following reasons.
  1. Time is valuable and you have the most time
  2. Compound interest is the "force" behind all investing and compound interest compliments the stock market very well
  3. Certain strategies can complement long-term wealth building
Building wealth through stocks is like trying to build a house one brick at a time...just you, and you are gathering the straw, digging the mud, and pressing each brick by hand. When it rains many of your bricks will wash away. If the sun shines for enough days then you will make good progress.
The problem is that all markets cycle. The housing market cycles. Petroleum and natural gas cycles. The stock market cycles. I believe that a full market cycle is around 18 years with around 7-12 years in an up cycle and 6-11 in a down cycle. In the stock market, they call these bull and bear markets. We are currently in one of the longest bull markets on record due to interest rates and the feds printing money. No one has a crystal ball but sooner or later the market will peak. When this happens Boomers will be the first to pull money out and put it into bonds or CDs. Boomers are as big of a whale as retail can get. Anyone and I mean anyone could have made money in the current market. If ten years ago you had asked a five-year-old to pick five of their favorite things and invested in their choices you would have made money. That could be Barbies, YouTube, Pizza, Sprite, and their Dog. They would have made money on any stocks you picked around those five things.
There will come a day sooner or later when Boomers and GenX will see trends in the market that they don't like. Boomers own multiple houses and are deep into retirement. GenX is a small but powerful generation that is now on the back Nine Holes of life. Gen X will largely inherit the wealth of the Boomers. There will come a shift towards mitigating losses and that shift is not far away. When they move their money from markets so goes the market.
Is it fair to say that one of the longest bull cycles on record could transition to one of the longest bear cycles?
Let's look at Millenials...a generation that is struggling to just buy a home. Boomers own a few. GenX may own a couple and Millenials that are now entering into their forties struggle with one. Millenials are a massively sized generation that I believe is now bigger than both GenX and Boomers combined because Boomers are dying at a rapid pace. Millenials are the generation that were adults starting life and careers in 2008 and full-blown families with Covid-19. Maybe one of the unluckiest generations.
GenZ is this very talented and intelligent generation. Y'all are creating disruptions in culture, in politics, and in Wall Street. You are savvy and demanding. Giving billionaires the finger while pissing on the front door of their mansions.
But you need to be careful.
Stocks are not the key to your success. They are just a single tool in your toolbox. A better tool may be early homeownership or owning a small business. Life is about options...and I am not talking about the gambling options of Wall Street. I am talking about the options of having equity in a home to adapt to economic swings. I am, talking about the options of owning a small business where your day to day decisions make you smarter and more valuable. Where you own assets that make you money. Most importantly you have control over your own destiny.
I am not telling you not to invest in stocks. I am just telling you that it should be a limited part of your overall strategy in life. Unless someone has been through two complete cycles of the stock markets then I would take their advice with a grain of salt.
General advice:
  1. Don't sell stocks that you have taken a loss on
  2. Buy when everyone is selling and sell when everyone is buying
  3. Invest in stocks with a strategy based on your knowledge and experience
  4. Invest only what you can afford to lose
  5. Stocks work best with time. Leave them alone
  6. Be a value investor
  7. Invest with a purpose
Number seven is important. For example, I like Robotics, AI, and Automation. I like these is two specific areas....transportation and mining. I operate in the Transportation industry. I know that very soon human drivers will be eliminated and self-driving trucks will take over. Trucks will be loaded, driven, and unloaded without a single human being doing any of that work. With that will come an entire supporting industry. Tow trucks will need to be automatically dispatched when trucks break down or in accidents. AI will need to be involved in decision making. I will see these changes before I am dead and I am 42.
I like underwater mining. Our oceans are the next frontier and the next gold rush. We have areas of sea bottom that has very little life but is rich in gasses, minerals, and thermal energy. Automation, AI, and robotics will play a huge role in underwater mining. I will see this transition start in my lifetime and I am 42.
Beyond that, once we have machines that are capable of underwater mining then we have the basics for machines that can mine inner-system planetary objects. From nearby asteroids to the moon, to thermal energy collection closer to the sun, to Mars and beyond. The wealthiest person in existence will be the person that is able to start the first off-planet mining operation. Where there is no EPA, no taxes on land, where we are not building sub-divisions next to mines. Where we don't have to worry about the ecosystem. Where gasses and pollutants are not pollutants because there is nothing of consequence to pollute. The largest land-owners in existence will be the owner of off-world mining operations. That may not happen in my lifetime...but it may in yours.
I like investing in Meme stocks because they are fun. But I also invest in Robotics, AI, and automation with one-single question....is this company taking humanity one-step close to automated transportation or underwater mining? I invest with a purpose.
Sure I will grab up some value stocks every now and then. People are going to be flying more than ever in a few years. People are going to be more social than ever in a few years. Shoot Condom manufacturers are a buy right now because people will be..........you get the idea.
The whole reason that I wrote this excessively long post is to maybe get you into thinking about your strategy....what is it? And to caution you on being "all-in" on stocks.
Stonks don't always go up.
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Why you should learn poker and game theory (LONG READ)

Hello everyone! I have only been on Reddit for a few months but I learned so much from it that I figured I should try and give back to the community. English is my second language and this is the first time I ever write a full-length article, I hope you will enjoy reading it and I would be very thankful if you could provide some feedback about my writing, about the topic, or about anything else really… So here goes!
Why you should learn poker and game theory:
My story is similar to that of many: I learned about the game 10 years ago (during the golden age of online poker) when some friends of mine invited me to play a home game. Although I initially thought of poker as just another game of chance akin to playing slots or roulette in a casino, I quickly came to realize that there is a lot more to it as my more experienced friends would repeatedly get the best of me during these home games, which led me to start watching videos and reading strategy books to improve my skill… Little did I know it’d be the start of a journey that would impact many different aspects of my life way beyond the game itself, as most of the fundamental principles learned through poker can be applied to your decision-making outside of the game, especially when it comes to money management and investing. Now, let’s dive into a few of these principles:

- Risk management (i.e. Bankroll management)
When learning about how to be successful playing poker, the first big piece of advice most people come across is bankroll management or BRM. To understand BRM, you must first realize that poker has a lot of variance: you might be vastly ahead in a given hand but there is almost always a slim chance that you will lose in the end if one specific card hits. This implies that you will sometimes lose even though you were a 99% favorite, and that you will sometimes get unlucky and lose 2, 5 or maybe even 20 such encounters in a row. THIS is variance. It doesn’t mean that you played bad or that you made bad decisions, but rather that you got unlucky. Over time you will have lucky streaks and unlucky streaks, and these will average out in the long term… It’s just the way the game goes.
Now that we understand variance, let’s get back to BRM. What is it exactly? Let’s say you are the best poker player in the world but you only have 1000$ that you can EVER use to play with. Taking your whole 1000$ on one table and multiplying your stack at an exponential rate might seem like a good idea. Surely nothing can go wrong since you’re the best player in the world right? But variance can be a bitch ;) Even if you’re the best you will lose regularly and you will sometimes get unlucky, it’s just part of the game. The correct move here is to apply BRM, which means only using a small % of your available capital for each game you play in order to reduce the risk of going broke. Using only 100$ per game would already be a lot safer, but you still run the risk of going under on a streak of bad luck. If you only allocate 10$ per game you play, then it becomes virtually impossible for you to ever go broke, even on a huge streak of bad luck. Sure it’s not as exciting and you won’t be making money quite as fast as you could, but this is the way to go to make sure you don’t go broke…
This approach to risk management translates very well to investing:
- Only invest what you can afford to lose. Once the money is on the table it’s as good as gone, which is why you should only use your “spare” cash and never invest with your living expenses or worse, borrow money to invest.
- Diversify your investments. There is always a chance, however slim it might be, that you will lose most of your investment. This is why going all-in on a specific investment is generally a bad idea (this applies particularly well in the crypto space).
Proper BRM allows you to make sure that you will come out ahead in the long run if you play well, which basically comes down to making more good decisions than bad ones. But that’s assuming you don’t let emotions come in the way of your decision-making, which brings us to our next point…

- Emotional management (i.e. Handling tilt/Positive mindset)
Nobody likes losing… In the same way we enjoy winning because of the dopamine rush, we feel bad when we lose which is totally natural. Overcoming this and avoiding tilt (irrational decisions made out of angefrustration) is an essential skill for any successful poker player. You might play a sound game of poker and apply good BRM, but you will still lose if you let your emotions get the best of you.
After a loss, rather than being angry and frustrated, you should evaluate your decision-making. If your decision-making was good, you just got unlucky and you shouldn’t worry about it since you are playing for the long run (remember that variance teaches us that anything can happen in the short-term). If your decision-making was bad, you need to learn from your mistakes and move on. The key here is to always have a positive mindset: making mistakes is part of the learning process and should be seen as an occasion to improve. Being angry and ranting, on the other hand, rarely result in anything positive.
Again, this translates very well to investing:
- Don’t be impulsive, don’t let your emotions cloud your judgment. You should not FOMO because the price is pumping, nor should you sell because of FUD or price corrections. If you believe in a project, short-term price changes (did I hear someone say “variance”?) shouldn’t bother you.
- Don’t get stuck up on losses. You bought the top and it crashed immediately after? You sold the bottom right before a huge rally? Don’t let this bother you: what’s done is done and you just need to move on and make the best of your current situation.
- Have a positive mindset. Anger and frustration lead to nothing. Yes you could have bought in 2009 when you first heard about it, hindsight is always 20/20. Stay positive and keep learning/improving yourself.
The good thing about all this is that it goes way beyond poker or investing. Being aware of your emotions and how they affect you, learning how to handle losing even when you were “supposed” to win, etc… All this can tremendously help you in all aspects of life by making you less impulsive and more rational in your decision-making. Now, this leaves us with our last fundamental principle of a sound poker strategy:

- Basic stats and probabilities (i.e. Expected value/Odds)
To become an accomplished player, you will inevitably have to learn about these simple mathematical tools that poker players use all the time in their decision-making process, such as odds and expected value. To make it very simple, the expected value (EV) of any bet is (REWARD \ WinRate - RISK), meaning that if you can bet 1000$ with a chance to win 10k$ half of the time, your EV is *(10000\0.5)-1000 = +4000$**. Obviously these are great odds to take as long as you have enough capital to overcome variance. But things would be very different if the odds of winning were only 5% as your EV would then be negative *(10000\0.05)-1000 = -500$.*** Now this is clearly a bet you should not take…
Now that you know probabilities, statistics and game theory are useful decision-making tools in poker, guess what? They are also extremely useful in investing! Even better, the study of game theory with problems such as the “Byzantine generals” or the “Three prisoners” has been, along with cryptography, the foundation on which blockchain technology was built, enabling the trustless and decentralized services that are about to revolutionize our world…
Assuming this was enough to pique your interest and make you want to dig deeper, I’ll just add that just like the other topics we discussed and as you might have guessed, this translates very well to investing and also to pretty much anything in your life:
- Learn how to break down complex situations. Logical thinking paired with a statistical approach will help you break down any complex problem into several easier problems, making the whole thing a lot easier to approach/comprehend.
- Base your decisions on a methodical and rational approach. List every possible outcome along with its associated upside/downside, estimate the probability of each outcome to occur and make the best decision based on the information available.
My point here is that risk management, emotional management and statistics/game theory are all awesome tools that you should definitely add to your arsenal. Not only will it improve your money-management and investing, it will also be beneficial to your decision-making and to your life in general. Of course poker is not the only way to learn about these, but I personally found it to be the best practice ground to refine and improve them, which is why I strongly encourage you all to try it out and study the game.
I hope you enjoyed the article, and I wish you all a happy 2021 bull run! May we all come closer to retirement and financial independence!

TL;DR: more than a game, poker is a school of thought. It teaches you to be reasonable, to assess the risk of every single choice you make, to overcome you emotions, to play the long game rather than the short game, to make informed decisions, etc… This has made me a lot wiser in every aspect of my life, which is why I strongly encourage to try it out and read about poker strategy.
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THE TIMES (Full Article) - Jordan Peterson on his depression, drug dependency and Russian rehab hell

THE TIMES (Full Article) - Jordan Peterson on his depression, drug dependency and Russian rehab hell
INTERVIEW

Jordan Peterson on his depression, drug dependency and Russian rehab hell

The superstar psychologist, scourge of snowflakes, and his daughter, Mikhaila, explain how he unravelled — and their bizarre journey to find a cure


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📷 Jordan Peterson
SHALAN AND PAUL FOR THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE
Interview by Decca Aitkenhead
Saturday January 30 2021, 6.00pm GMT, The Sunday Times

I thought this was going to be a normal interview with Jordan Peterson. After speaking with him at length, and with his daughter for even longer, I no longer have any idea what it is. I don’t know if this is a story about drug dependency, or doctors, or Peterson family dynamics — or a parable about toxic masculinity. Whatever else it is, it’s very strange.
Peterson, a clinical psychologist, is a conservative superstar of the culture wars. Born and raised in Alberta by a librarian and a teacher, he spent the first three decades of his career in relative academic obscurity, churning out papers and maintaining a small clinical practice. All that changed in 2016 when he challenged, on free-speech grounds, a new Canadian law he argued would legally compel him to use transgender people’s preferred pronouns. Practically overnight the Toronto professor became a YouTube sensation, posting videos and lectures attacking identity politics and political correctness, and dispensing bracing advice about how to be a real man. His 2018 self-help bestseller, 12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos, has made him arguably the world’s most famous — and certainly its most controversial — public intellectual.
For three tumultuous years wherever Peterson went uproar and adoration followed. His explosive confrontation with Cathy Newman on Channel 4 News in 2018 resulted in the network calling in security experts after some of his supporters posted abuse and threats online. To the millions of young men who idolise him, the erudite, unflappable 58-year-old is a kind of fantasy father figure. Life is tough, he warns them; they need to stop whining, tidy their room, stand up straight and deal with it. He accuses the “neo-Marxist radical left” of trying to “feminise” men, and defends traditional masculine dominance. According to Peterson men represent “order”. To his critics he represents the respectable face of reactionary misogyny, and a dangerous gateway drug to online alt-right radicalisation.

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📷 Jordan Peterson and his daughter, Mikhaila - SHALAN & PAUL FOR THE SUNDAY TIMES MAGAZINE
If his rise to fame was dramatic, what has happened since he disappeared from public view 18 months ago sounds fantastical — in his daughter’s words it is “like a horror movie”. A movie in which her father gets hooked on benzodiazepines, becomes suicidal, is hospitalised for his own safety and then diagnosed with schizophrenia. Against his doctors’ advice she flies him to Russia to be placed in an induced coma. He emerges delirious, unable to walk, and ricochets from one rehab centre to another, ending up in a Serbian clinic where he contracts Covid-19. Back home in Canada at last, from where he speaks to me earlier this month, he breaks down in floods of tears and has to leave the room. When I ask if he feels angry with himself for taking benzodiazepines, his daughter jumps in, arms waving — “Hold on, hold on!” — and tries to bring the interview to a close.

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📷 Russian roulette: Jordan and Mikhaila in Moscow, where he tried an unorthodox form of drugs detox@MIKHAILAPETERSON / INSTAGRAM
If this was a movie, its director would unquestionably be the 28-year-old Mikhaila Peterson, CEO of her father’s company. She and her Russian husband appear to have assumed full charge of his affairs, so before I am allowed to speak to him I must first talk to her. Unrecognisable from the ordinary-looking brunette from photos just a few years ago, Mikhaila today is a glossy, pouting Barbie blonde, and talks with the zealous, spiky conviction of a President Trump press spokeswoman.
According to her website she has suffered from juvenile rheumatoid arthritis, an autoimmune disorder, since early childhood, which necessitated a hip and ankle replacement at 17. Other symptoms — chronic fatigue, depression, OCD, nose bleeds, restless legs, brain fog, itchy skin, the list goes on — forced her to drop out of university, “and it finally occurred to me that whatever was happening was likely going to end in my death, and rather soon. After almost 20 years, the medical community still had no answers for me.” So she decided to cure herself.
In 2015 Mikhaila began to experiment with food elimination. Starting with gluten, she removed one food group after another from her diet, until for the past three years she has eaten literally nothing but red meat — almost exclusively beef — and salt. This has, she claims, cured everything. She now makes podcasts and blogs about her “lion diet”.
Needless to say the medical profession does not endorse this diet. Nevertheless, in 2018 her father adopted it and within months declared it had cured his depression, anxiety, psoriasis, snoring, gingivitis, gastric reflux, even the floaters in his right eye. He stopped taking the SSRI antidepressants that he had been on for 14 years. He was, he proclaimed, “intellectually at my best”.

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📷 Delivering a lecture in Ljubljana, Slovenia, on his 12 Rules for Life book tour in 2018 REX
Like every medical autodidact I’ve ever met, Mikhaila rattles off pharmacological jargon at 100 miles an hour, sweeping from one outlandish tale to another with breathless melodrama that becomes increasingly exhausting to follow. She wants to give me the “nitty-gritty nasty details” of the past 18 months herself, “because Dad is still not fully recovered, and he’s still extremely prone to anxiety, so any recounting of the story knocks him out for a couple of days”. After 80 minutes on Zoom, the one thing of which I’m certain is that, were I as close to death as she assures me her father repeatedly was, this is not the person I would entrust with saving my life.
The problems all began, according to Mikhaila, in October 2016. By then she, her husband and her father were consuming only meat and greens — the full lion diet would come later — and ate a stew that contained apple cider, to which all three had a violent “sodium metabisulphite response. It was really awful — but it hit him hardest. He couldn’t stand up without blacking out. He had this impending sense of doom. He wasn’t sleeping.” Peterson himself has said he didn’t sleep for 25 days, a claim that has been widely disputed, given that the longest period of sleeplessness recorded is 11 days. Mikhaila brushes this away impatiently. “He was in really bad shape, right.”
Peterson had plenty of reasons to be unsettled. His book 12 Rules would be coming out a year later; his job at the University of Toronto was in jeopardy due to the transgender pronoun controversy. “So that was incredibly stressful,” Mikhaila agrees. “And then just going from not being known to being known was stressful. But our entire family agrees, the main problem here was this weird health thing.” They consulted doctors, “who didn’t really know what was going on”, until the family GP prescribed “a really low dose of benzodiazepine”, the family of sedative drugs that includes Valium. It seemed to help. “And we were, like, OK, whatever.”

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📷 Peterson’s wife, Tammy, was diagnosed with a rare form of kidney cancer in early 2019DANIEL HAMBURY / STELLA PICTURES
By early 2019 Peterson was a household name, his book a global bestseller, when disaster struck. His wife of 30 years, Tammy, was diagnosed with kidney cancer. “We did a whole bunch of research and it was this extremely rare cancer that is extremely deadly.” Tammy suffered all kinds of surgical complications, and Peterson spent months at her hospital bedside, terrified she would die. That summer his doctor raised his benzodiazepine dose, but instead of soothing him it seemed only to make matters worse. “Dad started to get super-weird. It manifested as extreme anxiety, and suicidality.”
On another psychiatrist’s advice he quit the drug and started taking ketamine, but cold turkey sent him into benzodiazepine withdrawal. Another psychiatrist, a family friend, told him to resume the benzodiazepine and check into a rehab clinic to help wean him back off it slowly. After six weeks in rehab in Connecticut he was in a worse state than ever, still on the benzodiazepine plus now additional drugs, unable to stop pacing or writhing with agitation. Frightened he would kill himself, Peterson transferred to a public hospital in Toronto in November, where he was diagnosed with schizophrenia.
The hospital wanted to treat him with electroconvulsive therapy, but Mikhaila and her family were having none of it. “It’s not like we’re uneducated in these things, right?” she says. “We kept telling them, no, the problem was his medication. But they wouldn’t listen to us. So we started calling rehab clinics around the world. We rang 57 of them. And this one place in Russia was, like, ‘Yeah, we do detox.’ So we thought, what do we do? It’s got to be dangerous because no one else will do it. But my family agreed, let’s give it a shot.”
The Toronto doctors “were not OK with it. We had to sign papers taking responsibility for whatever happened. And they were annoyed about it enough that they wouldn’t give us his discharge papers. Which is not even legal, right? It was a complete mess.”
In January last year, with the help of her husband, a nurse and a security guard, Mikhaila put Peterson on a private plane to Moscow. The clinic there was more familiar with detoxing patients from opiates than benzodiazepines; they took one look at Peterson and said he’d been deliberately poisoned. “And I was, like, no, it’s the meds!” To complicate matters further, the clinic intubated him for undiagnosed pneumonia. Did she feel her father was in safe hands? “Well, my husband was translating everything, which was terrifying. But the clinic looked really modern. It didn’t look sketchy.”
The medics administered propofol, the drug that killed Michael Jackson, to induce an eight-day coma, during which they “did something called plasmapheresis, which takes your blood and cleans it. Benzodiazepines have such a long half-life, there’s a theory that maybe some of the withdrawal is because you still have benzodiazepines in you. So the plasmapheresis got rid of everything.”
When Peterson regained consciousness, it became clear that they were not out of the woods yet. “He was catatonic. Really, really bad. And then he was delirious. He thought my husband was his old roommate. Oh, it was horrible.” Did she panic? “Yeah! I lost a whole bunch of hair. I’ve never been that stressed in my entire life. We’d brought Dad here and it was, like, what did the detox do? Was it too hard on his brain? I thought, I’m f***ed if this goes badly. The entire world is going to blame me, because who brings somebody to detox from these medications in Russia? It’s, like, this is really bad.”
Peterson was transferred to a public hospital near Moscow, “for people with severe head trauma, basically. It was like a Soviet-era hospital from a movie. But it was full of really — thank God — really, really, really, really skilled doctors. So I went the next day, and Dad was back!”
The doctors had put him on new drugs; he was alert. By now it was February and Peterson had no memory of anything since mid-December. He had even forgotten how to type. Over eight days he learnt to walk again, and was then transferred to another clinic to convalesce. In late February his family flew him to Florida, rented a house in Palm Beach, hired nurses and thought he would recover. But ten days later all the old symptoms came back. Unable to stop moving, in pain, Peterson was suicidal again. “And I was, like, what is going on?”
Mikhaila contacted a clinic in Serbia — “this, like, top-of-the-world private hospital” — and flew her father to Belgrade, where he was diagnosed with akathisia, a condition of restlessness classically linked to benzodiazepine withdrawal. Finally Mikhaila had found doctors who corroborated her own theory. They prescribed further sedatives and antidepressants and an opiate; her father seemed “stoned” but “at least started to relax”. Father and daughter released a podcast, updating fans on his recovery. And then Serbia went into lockdown, so she moved into her father’s clinic with her husband, their nanny and three-year-old daughter — and all five of them promptly contracted Covid.
By now my head is spinning. The blizzard of obscure pharmaceutical terminology keeps on coming, as Mikhaila reels off the names of more antibiotics and antidepressants and antipsychotics prescribed to her father, recounting her objections to this one and that one until it all becomes a blur.
The long and the short of it is that late last year Peterson flew home to Canada. His akathisia — the intense agitation and restlessness that makes him suicidal — has improved significantly but not disappeared. No one can understand why it still plagues him. He still isn’t free of meds. Having gone through several more doctors in Toronto, Mikhaila is currently corresponding online with “thousands” of akathisia sufferers, who are “telling me what worked for them”.

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📷 Christmas Day, 2020, in Toronto. Clockwise from left: Jordan, Mikhaila and husband Andrey, Julian (Jordan’s son) with son Elliott and wife Jillian, Tammy with granddaughter Scarlett ---- ELLIANA ALLON
Has she ever, I wonder, felt perceived by the medical profession as the problem? “Completely, yes. Hundred per cent. I’ve been problematic for a while.” She starts to laugh. “I’m pretty pushy when I think something is wrong.” She doesn’t have any actual medical training, though, I point out. Doesn’t she worry about the responsibility she has assumed for her father’s treatment? “But because of my experience of being ill, I’ve done a lot of research. There’s this trust people have of doctors that I don’t have. Because doctors are just people, right?”
This opinion is not uncommon in North America, where surprising numbers regard YouTube as a viable substitute for medical school. Whatever your opinion of Peterson, however, his scrupulous deference to scientific data is indisputable. His public image is defined by scholarly precision; “There’s no evidence for that,” is practically his catchphrase.
I am dying to ask him why he submitted to this medical circus, orchestrated by his daughter against his doctor’s orders, when we speak the following day. But at the end of this long and often bewildering account from his daughter, I still can’t tell if her father will be cogent or incoherent. I don’t know what to expect. And Mikhaila will, of course, be monitoring our conversation.
Peterson is as impeccably groomed, composed and meticulously courteous as ever when he appears on Zoom a day later. He looks gaunt and pale, though, and I’m struck by an overwhelming sense of his vulnerability.
As the professor is famously data-driven, I ask what medical evidence was so compelling that it persuaded him to detox in Moscow. He looks slightly blank. “I don’t remember anything. From December 16 of 2019 to February 5, 2020,” he says, “I don’t remember anything at all.” He reassures me that he did, nonetheless, consent to being treated in Moscow, so again I ask why.
“Well, I went to the best treatment clinic in North America. And all they did was make it worse. So we were out of options. The judgment of my family was that I was likely going to die in Toronto.” Why would he put his life in the hands of his family and not the medical profession? “I had put myself in the hands of the medical profession. And the consequence of that was that I was going to die,” he repeats blankly. “So it wasn’t that [the evidence from Moscow] was compelling. It was that we were out of other options.”
I’m curious about the extent to which his mental health was troubling him in the months and years leading up to the crisis. On his book tour he’d delivered a different lecture each night at 160 cities in 200 days, addressing crowds of many thousands. Feted as a psychological authority in possession of all the answers — busy dispensing advice to fans about their mental health — how worried was he about his own? “Well, I don’t think it’s a mental health issue. I think it’s a physical health issue. I have an autoimmune disorder of some sort, and much depression is autoimmune in nature.”
Now I’m confused all over again. Throughout all his medical ordeals there wasn’t ever a formal diagnosis of an autoimmune disorder, was there? “Yeah, there was,” Mikhaila jumps in. “In Russia and in Serbia. Fibromyalgia.” That isn’t an autoimmune condition, is it? “I mean,” Peterson says vaguely, “these sort of autoimmune conditions aren’t very well understood — and fibromyalgia is a good example of that. It’s terra incognita.”
Then he starts talking instead about post-traumatic stress disorder. “One of the markers for post-traumatic stress disorder is derealisation. Like when the things around you don’t seem real. And I was in a constant state of derealisation from October 2016 till …” — he checks the day’s date with a mirthless chuckle — “January 12th of 2021.”
Being Jordan Peterson, he explains, has involved five years of untold pressure. “I was at the epicentre of this incredible controversy, and there were journalists around me constantly, and students demonstrating. It’s really emotionally hard to be attacked publicly like that. And that happened to me continually for, like, three years.” In 2017, 200 of his colleagues “signed a petition at the University of Toronto to have me removed from my tenured position. And my faculty association forwarded that to the administration without even notifying me.” When he gave a talk at Queen’s University in Kingston, Ontario, “protesters were banging on the windows. It was like a zombie attack. They arrested a woman who was carrying a garotte, for God’s sake! And I was harassed directly after the demonstration by a small coterie of insane protesters who were in my face for two blocks, three blocks, yelling and screaming.”
Was it frightening? “I guess I’d have to say yes, definitely. I was concerned for my family. I was concerned for my reputation. I was concerned for my occupation. And other things were happening. The Canadian equivalent of the Inland Revenue service was after me, making my life miserable, for something they admitted was a mistake three months later, but they were just torturing me to death. The college of psychologists that I belonged to was after me because one of my clients had put forth a whole sequence of specious allegations. So that was extraordinarily stressful.”
He was — and remains — intensely frustrated that journalists keep casting his work as “fundamentally political”. “I really don’t like upsetting people,” he says. “I’m a clinical psychologist, it’s in my nature to help people. I’m not interested in generating controversy. I’ve been trying to help people [understand] that they need a profound meaning in their life because their lives are difficult.”
His fans’ enthusiasm for his tough-love message quite unravels him. “The response has been continually amazing. I don’t know what to make of it. What should I think of the fact that I have 600 million views on YouTube?” He certainly thinks about it a lot; he references his viewing figures repeatedly, with a kind of awestruck wonder. “So it’s the scale of exposure that’s — well, I mean, it’s not unparalleled, because there is no shortage of famous people, but it’s certainly unparalleled for me! I mean, when all this hit me I was already 55 or something. I’d laboured under relative obscurity. But now I’ve had this incredible view into the suffering of thousands and thousands of people, and I can’t go out without people coming up to me. And they’re usually quite emotional, and I’m …” His voice trembles, then cracks.
“You don’t have conversations like that, that often, outside of the clinical sphere. So part of what’s overwhelming to me is how it’s direct evidence of how little encouragement so many people get.” His face crumples into tears. “They’re starving …” He breaks down. “Sorry,” he sobs, “I haven’t done an interview for a long time.” He gets up to leave and returns a minute later carrying a towel to dry his eyes.
“And things just fell apart insanely with [his wife] Tammy. Every day was life and death and crisis for five months. The doctors said, ‘Well, she’s contracted this cancer that’s so rare there’s virtually no literature on it, and the one-year fatality rate is 100 per cent.’ So endless nights sleeping on the floor in emergency, and continual surgical complications.” He looks shellshocked. “So I took the benzodiazepines.”
Those drugs are notoriously addictive, I point out; he had surely heard enough horror stories about housewives hooked on Valium in the 1960s to be wary? “No, I really didn’t give it a second thought. They were prescribed and I just took them.”
Maybe they really were the cause of all his problems. The more he talks, though, the more I wonder whether toxic masculinity might have been a culprit, too. His family history of depression might tell us something about the price to be paid for his bootstrap philosophy; that when life became excruciatingly stressful, Peterson’s stand up, man up, suck it up mentality didn’t work. At the very point when the most famous public intellectual on the planet was preaching a regime of order and self-discipline, he was privately in chaos. Parallels with Donald Trump come to mind; another unhappy man closed off from his emotions, projecting strong man mythology while hunkered down in a bunker with his family against the world.
Peterson’s critics will undoubtedly point out that he built an entire intellectual philosophy upon the principle that life is all about pain and suffering; that the strong, manly response is to square one’s shoulders and battle through it, not to take drugs to numb the pain. “No, I’ve never said that. Look, if you’re a viable clinician you encourage people to take psychiatric medication when it’s appropriate. What I really encourage in people is to understand that it isn’t useful to allow your suffering to make you resentful. And, believe me, I’ve had plenty of temptation to become resentful about what’s happened to me in the last two years.”
When I watched the podcast he made last June with Mikhaila in Belgrade, I tell him, I thought he looked angry, and wondered who or what he was angry with. “Well, pain will make you angry.” Is any part of Peterson angry with himself for taking benzodiazepines? He hesitates. “I wouldn’t say angry. But it’s not like I failed to see the irony. That was another thing that continues to make it difficult to stomach. You know, should I have known better? Possibly.”
Mikhaila interrupts sharply. “Well …” but he continues. “I mean, I did do my thesis on alcoholism.” She raises her voice and waves her arms. “This is — hold up, hold up! You had a side-effect from a medication. Should you have known better that benzodiazepines can cause akathisia in people who take SSRIs?” “No,” Peterson defers. Enunciating each word, she spells out: “This. Wasn’t. A. Benzodiazepine. Dependency. Problem. This was an akathisia side-effect from psych meds.” Her father nods. “Right. Yes, that’s right.” Mikhaila checks the time. “We have to wrap up.” He glances up. “I’m doing OK, by the way.” “Yeah, yeah, I know. But still.” Is he absolutely sure, I try once more, that what he experienced wasn’t an understandable response to intolerable stress? “There’s no way akathisia is that,” Mikhaila snaps.
Peterson’s wife is making a miraculous recovery from cancer. His greatest source of stress right now is “fear that the akathisia will come back. It’s unbearable. And there’s always this sense that you could stop it, if you just exercised enough willpower. So it’s humiliating as well.” Does it generate a self-punishing voice in his head, accusing him of being weak? “Yes, definitely.” He worries that akathisia must look like weakness to everyone else too. “It’s certainly how it appears. Grotesque, for sure.”
He suffered akathisia for 26 days in November, and five in December — “and those episodes would last five to seven hours.” So far in January he has suffered none, “but I can feel it lurking”. Every morning he takes a 90-minute sauna, scrubs himself in the shower for 20 minutes, walks for between two and four hours, “and then I can begin to have something resembling a productive day”.
One thing that has not changed is his politics. Asked about the storming of the Capitol in Washington, he clicks back into more familiar, self-assured Peterson mode. “I thought that the continual pushing on the radical leftist front would wake up the sleeping right. I saw it coming five years ago. And you can put it at Trump’s feet, but it’s not helpful. I mean, obviously he was the immediate catalyst for the horrible events that enveloped Washington — and perhaps it’ll all die down when Trump disappears. But I doubt it.” Should Trump be impeached? “I think he should be ignored.”
Incredibly, throughout all of this he has managed to write another book — Beyond Order: 12 More Rules for Life — the sequel to his self-help bestseller. I ask how he feels about the prospect of its publication this spring. “Well, I’m ambivalent about it because I can’t judge the book properly. I didn’t write it under optimal circumstances, to say the least, so I can’t make an adequate judgment of its quality.”
Why didn’t he postpone the book until he was better?
“I can tell you why I did it. How I could do it. It was easy. Because the alternative was worse.” He’d lost a year to Tammy being ill, then a year to his own illness. “If I would have lost the book, I wouldn’t have had anything left.” I tell him I’m amazed he managed it, and he looks pleased.
“If you would have seen me, believe me, it would have been more amazing. When I recorded the audio book in November I was akathisic almost the entire time.” His voice raises and fills with pride. “I would go to the studio virtually convulsing in the car. I was moving just frenetically, and then I’d get upstairs into the studio and force myself to not move for two hours.
“If you would have asked me to lay odds on the probability that I would live to finish the recording, I would have bet you ten to one that I wouldn’t have. But I did the recording. And it was the same with the book. Because not to would have been worse. So, to the degree that I can explain how I was able to manage it, I’m not going to talk about willpower or courage, I’m going to talk about the lesser of two evils.”
Except, of course, that he has ended up framing his story in terms of his willpower and courage.
Beyond Order: 12 More Rules for Life by Jordan B Peterson is published on March 2 (Allen Lane £25)
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$AYRO - The Most Underwritten EV Play on the Market

Yeah, I know, another fucking EV. Big whoop. We all know combustion engines are going the way of the rotary phone, what makes this any different from TSLA, NIO, WKHS, BLNK, or even GM and F?
Two words: Outlets and Segway.

Part I: The Market

Ayro is an EV with an economic moat. Ever consider why half of the EV plays are for charging stations? It's because these things need a lot of juice, and it's hard to get filled fast. Nio admittedly has a creative approach, but the additional batteries that need to be produced to functionally expand their business model is doomed when they try to scale up. We all know battery metals are in high demand, and they do not have a solution to this problem. And while the many new, competing charging stations plays may yield some much-needed supply for rapid charging on-the-go, there is a whole gigantic market for EV use that doesn't require this constant full-refueling, and just needs a more convenient down-payment cost.

If anything came from the slow-motion train wreck that was Nikola, it was an awareness for the potential of EV to disrupt the shipping industry. Couple near-zero fuel costs with quick-developing self-driving tech, and we're looking at a future where Amazon could basically offer free delivery. The only problem is, logistically, a network of EVs doing autonomous delivery is going to require a fuckton of cars. You can't have massive eighteen-wheel semis rolling down fifth avenue or up to college campus dorms all day, even with hydrogen fuel cells; the amount of cash you would have to come up with just as down payment on the trucks alone would be prohibitively expensive.

So what does that mean? It means we need last minute delivery. The people who drive the actual vans from the Amazon warehouse to you door? That's the market we're looking at here. And I know you just shuddered at the idea of counter playing the largest business in the world, but that's the beauty of this whole thing: we aren't counter-playing the future of driverless delivery, we're supplying it. There's going to be another Nikola eventually, someone who figures it out properly, and the shipping industry is going to change overnight. Warehouses will be emptied and filled so efficiently that the demand will be on getting from the Warehouse to people's homes. Opinion: The amount of money it will cost for a fleet of EV pick-up trucks/vans, and the amount of time it will take to charge given projections by any of the major charging station plays, cannot compete with the cost and efficiency of Ayro 411 type micro-trucks.

Part II: The Product

What the fuck is a 411 micro truck? It's the god-damn future, that's what. The 411 is a light-duty EV made by Club Car. Yes, Club Car, the golf cart company. The company that has produced small scale electric vehicles for recreational and short distance transport since Nineteen-Fifty-Eight. If you come across any number of bot articles entitled "AYRO is a classic pump-and-dump," just remember they're partnered with the longest-standing, most consistently profitable EV company in the world.

The Ayro 411 is a miniature truck that can be configured as a flat bed, pick-up, or covered van during the purchase process. There are a number of additional customization upgrades, and the process feels quite akin to purchasing a Tesla Model 3. They cost about $30,000, a price tag that will only be going down as of their completion of a new factory in Texas and a new contract with Karma Automotive to produce 20,000 units over the next three years.

So what?
So here's what: the 411 charges on a three prong outlet. No, I'm not fucking joking. This is a truck, a 35 mph, street legal delivery vehicle that requires $0 of additional costs to function. Buy it, plug it in, drive it around. You can't go very far and you can't go very fast but guess what? Ayro doesn't give a fuck! Because that market is already dominated by Tesla, who are years ahead of a dozen other solid competitors. None of them can compete in the short-distance space. The upfront costs of their batteries and recharge stations are too much for the margins of what we're dealing in here. Tesla is only profitable right now because of EV credits; when those dry up, investors better pray they made sufficient preparations to pivot into the solar market with a stiff arm.

But the best part is, because Ayro doesn't compete with Tesla, their success is Ayro's. Consider Tesla's own semi play: if they produced the Hydrogen fuel cell behemoth Nikola promised, someone has to come up with a fleet of last minute delivery at some point. Amazon could do it, but guess what? All their vehicles are still combustion. That will only become less profitable (if not outright banned) in the next 10 years or so. Who will be available? Ayro, with customizable 411s. Tag on the inevitable advent of universally applicable self-driving tech, and you have the future of logistics.

Even without the delivery angle, these things could be massive on college campuses, at vacation resorts, or in large indoor complexes for such as sporting arenas or exposition centers. Anywhere people use a golf cart to get around now, they could be using an Ayro truck that is probably better suited for the task (except maybe an actual golf course). These could also become a boon for the ride-sharing industry, where fuel costs account for a sizeable loss of profit-margin right now.
Side note: did I mention the 411 has a food-cart model? It's made by Gallery, and it's fucking lit. This will change the game for food trucks, mark my words. Once they figure out how to get one of these bad boys with a stove on it, Ayro is going to blow up all over foodies social media, and its gonna be the new hot thing. "Micro-electric van life" influencers will surely abound. Loathsome, I know, but at least we'll get fucking rich, right?

Part III: The Business

Alright, u/y_u_no_mek, I'll admit I'm intrigued. But why should I trust you, a random redditor, with my precious tendies?
You shouldn't. I'm not a financial advisor. I barely have a college degree, more like an adult preschool certificate. But you know who you should trust? Rod "The Iron Cock" Keller, Ayro's CEO and guywhofucks in chief.
If you aren't familiar, in 2012 Big Rod K was already a former VP at Toshiba, Siemans, then DirecTV, before taking over as president of a then little-known and oft-ridiculed company making nifty electric transportation gadgets. Some idiots said they were the future and most people thought they looked pretty fucking stupid. Fast forward three years, and The Rod of God had turned his company into a staple of city-tourism the world over. That company? Segway. What happened to Segway under Rod Keller? It became the largest personal transport vehicle company in the world. Yeah, it's creative semantics. but guess what? He made everyone a shit ton of money. He took one of the stupidest brands/products I can think of, and made it not only profitable, but popular. This isn't an idea that should have failed, it's an idea that DID fail as soon as Keller left the company. Segway may not be the same ballpark as a proper EV, but it is at very least a testament to the man's ability to lead and grow a business. Rock-the-Stock Rod has over 25 years of experience as a tech executive- If you don't trust me, trust him.
The Club Car and Karma Automotive contracts also speak volumes for Ayro's capacity as a serious player, especially in a market where most "competitors" (who are really no threat, as we've established) are brand new startups run by over-eager, over-exuberant leadership with little-to-no experience in a budding sector (See: Nikola).
Which brings me to my penultimate point: Ayro's fundamentals. Yes, they have struggled to turn over strong profit margins in the last few quarters, and even posted some losses as recently as a year ago. But guess what? They have eight quarters of cash to burn. You don't come across that kind of cash-on-hand in the startup space right now, especially not for a company that is aggressively expanding production capacity. You know what I think? I think $AYRO stock is getting hammered by AI traders who see that low profit margin and think "this thing is a load of shit," without realizing that the source of the expense is largely investment in future profits. The company isn't old enough to get us a good sense of their ROCI, but I would venture to guess this next fiscal year will do very well for Rod "the killer" Keller and his three-pronged magic bus.

Part IV: The Stonk

Well if you read Lily's blog, you already know the stock market has nothing to do with fundamentals. So what do we know about $AYRO as an options derivative? Well, for one thing it already has fairly massive short interest for a low volume, a metric which will start drawing a lot more attention in the wake of #gamestonk. But more important than that, Ayro is just straight-up undervalued as an EV. EVEN IF the whole EV sector is one giant bubble, the worst of the worst bear case, Ayro can drop at most $7/share. The upside? Fucking massive. I don't know how the rest of you feel about roulette, but I prefer $5 on on 36 to $150 on black. Every EV has the potential to lose massive market cap right now (including Tesla), but the potential upside for Ayro hasn't been limited by runaway speculation quite yet. Compare, for instance, Ayro, Nio, and Tesla.

Nio MC: $89 Billion
Limits: Requires huge scale of battery production

Fisker MC: $4 Billion
Limits: scale and batteries; market dilution, distance, recharge solutions

Workhorse MC: $5 Billion
Limits: scale, market dilution, debts, recharge solutions

Tesla MC: $807 Billion
Limits: Long/expensive recharge solutions, implementation of recharge infrastructure, impractical at short-distance scale

Ayro MC: $209 Million
Limits: Surge protector


Wait did you say millio-

$209 MMMMMMILLION

That's right, Ayro has a market cap of 0.2% of Nio.


Stop. Take a deep breath. Look at yourself in the mirror. If you could pay $20 or 2 Cents for a bet with a similar payout, which would you take? Neither has shifty leadership. Both have strong growth potential. But one is limited by physical metal in the ground and the other is a functional product. I know which I would take.


TL;DR
Ayro is a beautiful, highly undervalued growth play with fundamentals that would make Warren Buffet himself shed tears of pure value-investor ichor. Short distance, standard outlet charging tech means it does not compete with Tesla, Nio, Fisker, or any other EV play. Solid, experienced leadership means the company has good financial sense. Market cap is wildly undervalued, even in the face of a potential EV bubble.

We like the stock

Obligatory holdings: 777 shares picked up @3.28 (Initially had 1000, sold off a few around $8.00) Purchased 4 Calls @12.50 exp Jan 21, 2022 Sold 2 Puts at 2.50 exp 1/21/2023 Sold 7 Calls @17.50 exp 5/21
EDIT: Today was crazy. I had a feeling this was coming, I just didn't think it would be this soon. I believe the stock still has plenty of room to run, so I will be holding for a while longer. Bought more shares at the start of the morning to being my total to 1000; sold 3 more calls @17.50 5/21 exp. (my whole position). Will most likely exercise my 12.50 calls if we hit that high, then turn around and sell those calls around $30. Hopefully free premium monies. Will update this thread if there are any major price changes/news updates
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Friendly advice about showing your cards

Friendly advice from one gambler to another:
- Should you really be saying, "35@205" or "I'll get out when it gets to $5000/share"? We know the opponent is/has hired individuals to shill and most likely is collecting information. Do you think they are manipulating the market? If so, do you think they could get it to $399 and hold it there for a few days to get a bunch of you to paper-hand? Would you show your opponent your cards before the flop? Would you tell them if they placed a bet of $50 you would fold?
- Sir, this is a casino. I'm not your financial advisor so do whatever you want with your money. If you plan to take a home equity loan, loan from a bank, or put your whole 401K in $GME shares, maybe you should talk with your financially-savvy friends/family/or a financial advisor before doing so. I can't imagine a financial setback of 10 or 20 years and having to greet customers at Home Depot when I'm 85 because I put it all on red or black at the roulette table.
- We are single investors sharing information and DD through an online platform. Don't ask, "What are WE doing?" We're not doing anything. I believe in GameStop as a premier destination for the gaming community and will transform their business to consistently deliver to the shareholders and customers. I believe in Ryan Cohen and the new executive leadership team. I like this stonk.
- Lastly, have fun. The comments and posts have been amazing and I hope this works out for you. Use google if you're wondering why the stock price/trading volume is so low Saturday at 2am EST.
*I'm not a financial advisor - do whatever you want with your hard earned dollars.
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Rihanna’s Pre-ANTI Albums Deserve More Praise

Let me start by saying I love ANTI. It’s a brilliant album that had Rihanna at her most confident, artistic, and vulnerable. It absolutely deserves the praise it gets for elevating Rihanna’s overall discography and showing how she could make a deep and well-crafted album. However, I feel like ANTI is the only Rihanna album that ever gets discussed in full, while her earlier albums are barely mentioned outside of the singles. Since the beginning of her career she has been considered a ‘singles artists’ with subpar albums. While I do acknowledge there was probably more effort in pushing her singles as opposed to her albums earlier in her career, I don’t think that instantly makes her albums bad. In my opinion, her album cuts are just as good, and often better, than her singles. With that said, I’m going to give a brief overview of each of her albums and explain why I think they deserve more praise than they get.
Music of the Sun
Her debut album, 2005’s Music of the Sun is as fun and summery as you can get. The album blends Caribbean-inspired reggae and dancehall with U.S.-based pop and R&B for an extremely easy and upbeat listen. It’s a perfect album to throw on when you’re poolside or if you’re in the mood for some chill escapism (I know I’ve listened to it for the last year pretending I’m on an island vacation instead of in my house for day #3685). Among the best songs are the infectious ‘Rush,’ featuring Kardinal Offishall, the laidback ‘Here I Go Again,’ featuring J-Status, and the criminally underrated ballad ‘Now I Know,’ which sees Rihanna at her most vocally impressive. It’s also damn near impossible to resist the urge to dance to songs like ‘Let Me’ and ‘Should I?’ This album seems to get flak for not showcasing enough of Rihanna’s personality and leaning too far into the ‘girl-next-door’ image, and I do think that’s a valid criticism. However, as a fun dance album with enough slow moments thrown in for good measure, I think this album is absolutely worth listening to, especially if you want some good summertime bops. I also think it’s unfair to hold this album to standards that Rihanna set later on in her career. In 2005, Rihanna was marketed as a pop/R&B artist heavily influenced by Caribbean music, and this album reflects that sound. While it’s different from what she would end up doing, it still deserves more attention for its incredibly fun songs outside of just ‘Pon de Replay’ and ‘If It’s Lovin’ that You Want’ (which is also underrated in its own right).
A Girl Like Me
Released less than a year after Music of the Sun, 2006’s A Girl Like Me is a natural progression of its predecessor. The record sheds some of Rihanna’s initial dancehall/reggae influence in favor of more balladry. The result is a more relatable album that sees Rihanna experiencing heartbreak and love affairs while trying to remain true to herself. Whether she is missing a past lover on ‘P.S. (I’m Still Not Over You)’ or feeling emotionally distant in her current relationship in ‘A Million Miles Away,’ Rihanna takes the listener through relatable experiences (well, I’m assuming relatable for people who have actually been in a relationship). What I love about this album is how it gives slight hints of Rihanna’s future cool and confident persona while also showcasing her vulnerability. Rihanna remains in control throughout the record, whether she is refusing to compromise on her morals in the title track (“'Cause a girl like me/ Is just a little different from all the rest/ And a girl like me/ Never gonna settle for second best”) or telling her lover the reasons why he should stay on ‘Who Ya Gonna Run To’ (“When your friends start to trip and you're losing your grip/ And you can't find your way back home/ When your world falls apart and you're lost in the dark/ And you know that you're all alone/ When you just can't deal and you need something real/ Someone who'll always come through/ Who ya gonna run to?”). In addition to this, there’s also plenty of up-tempo moments thrown in (‘Kisses Don’t Lie,’ ‘Crazy Little Thing Called Love,’ ‘Coulda Been the One’), so it’s certainly not just ballads throughout the entire runtime. This album somehow gets even less attention than her debut, which is a shame since I find it just as good for different reasons. While Music of the Sun was a more lighthearted and danceable listen, A Girl Like Me sees Rihanna on a more personal and relatable level. While it may have one too many ballads for some listeners, her sophomore effort is certainly worth revisiting for some great songs to cry over.
Good Girl Gone Bad (+Reloaded)
Now THIS is where Rihanna’s discography really starts to take off. While her previous records were great in their own right, GGGB sees her in full Queen of Pop™ mode. The album combines the mid-2000s pop/R&B sounds along with 1980’s dance-pop to make a truly no-skip non-stop fun experience. The hooks are instantly memorable and the production is slick, but the standout part of the album is Rihanna’s newfound edgier image. No longer the island dancehall girl-next-door of her first two efforts, GGGB introduces the Rihanna we are more familiar with today; fully confident, effortlessly sexy, and completely cool. From the transformative liberation anthem of ‘Good Girl Gone Bad’ to her telling her man off in ‘Breakin’ Dishes,’ Rihanna finds herself comfortably slipping into a bolder persona without coming across as forced. She is having the time of her life on this album, making it hard to not have fun while listening. This album immediately comes to mind when I think of mid-late 2000s pop-perfection, and it remains my favorite album of hers. Not only does it have some of the most iconic hits of the 2000s (‘Disturbia,’ ‘Umbrella,’ ‘Shut Up and Drive’), but it keeps the quality of those songs consistent throughout. ‘Question Existing’ is especially a standout as it sees Rihanna at her most introspective, questioning how much she has been forced to endure in the music industry and how she has to constantly keep herself guarded. However, my personal favorite song from this album, and her whole discography, is the ridiculously entertaining ‘Lemme Get That,’ which sees her coyly playing a gold-digger. Listen to it one time, and I promise you will not get the chorus out of your head for days (“GOT A HOUSE BUT I NEED NEW FUR-NI-TUUUUUREE” stays in my mind rent-free). If you’re a pop-lover, this is an absolutely essential listen.
Rated R
Coming out during a dark period in her life, 2009’s Rated R is Rihanna’s most thematically mature album. Released nine months after a highly publicized assault from then-boyfriend Chris Brown, the pop queen decided to double down on the bold and in-control image she began during her last album cycle. The record incorporates more rock instrumentation to give it an edgier and more dangerous sound in contrast to the more lighthearted pop/R&B of her previous albums. Songs such as ‘G4L,’ ‘Rockstar 101,’ and ‘Hard’ serve as anthems for being in total control over your life and owning who you are. She serves a badass rockstar fantasy reminiscent of 80s rockers in terms of her larger-than-life persona. On the flipside, she also explores the trauma she suffered on songs such as ‘Cold Case Love’ and ‘Russian Roulette,’ which are genuinely heartbreaking songs given the context around this album. However, in my opinion no songs compare to the devastating ‘Fire Bomb,’ which strikes a perfect balance of grim storytelling while also being an entertaining song. She sings about a tragic relationship that is destined to fail, mirroring her own relationship at the time (“The lovers need to clear the road/ ‘Cause this thing is ready to blow/ I just wanna set you on fire so I won’t have to burn alone/ Then you, then you’ll know where I’m coming from/ Fire bomb”). It’s a perfect song to either cry to or scream along with while driving, and it remains my second favorite Rihanna song of all time. This album is truly unique as it doesn’t really sound like the typical pop music of the time. While this era of pop music was defined by dance and club bangers, this album further developed Rihanna’s ‘hard’ persona while also telling a tragic story. It’s heavy and dramatic while being empowering. It’s fun to get lost in the rockstar fantasy this album delivers, but the true strength of Rated R comes in the gut-wrenching storytelling and dark themes. While I can see why people prefer ANTI to her first three albums, I truly think Rated R is a strong contender for her best record.
Loud
Tonally and aesthetically opposite to its predecessor, 2010’s Loud is Rihanna’s most concise and consistently energetic record. With just eleven tracks, there is no filler to be found here. Instead, we’re treated to the most brash, in-your-face, and unapologetic (pun intended) dance-pop Rihanna has to offer, with some of the dancehall influence returning from her first two albums. Whether it’s an ode to the weekend on ‘Cheers (Drink to That)’ or arguably her sexiest song to date, ‘Skin,’ Loud includes hit after hit after hit. Any one of these songs could be huge on the radio even today. While the album does trade in Rated R’s intense themes and dramatic storytelling in favor of a ‘safer’ and more ‘commercial’ sound, I don’t think that works against it since Rihanna still brings all her charm and personality to each song. Similar to GGGB, she sounds like she’s having the time of her life on these songs. My favorite example of this is on ‘Raining Men,’ featuring Nicki Minaj (before having a Nicki feature was truly mainstream!), which has remained a summer playlist staple for me. It’s one of her catchiest and over-the-top songs, and Nicki’s verse is endlessly quotable (“And he sweating me just 'cause I got the tightest hole/ Bet I couldn't find that thing with a microscope,” “Really? / REALLY?!/ no for real, REALLY?!”). The album also slows down for songs such as ‘California King Bed’ and ‘Love the Way You Lie (Part II),’ which still manage to not sound jarring despite being ballads on a primarily dance-pop album. ‘California King Bed’ is especially one of her catchiest ballads and another great song to scream along with in the car with your windows down (if you’re not easily embarrassed). While I could see some people preferring the more personal Rated R, I enjoy Loud more for its insane energy. I also think it has her best selection of singles. Seriously, how can you compete with ‘Only Girl (In the World),’ ‘What’s My Name,’ and ‘S&M’?!
Talk That Talk
At this point in her career, Rihanna had been established as her generation’s Queen of Pop with about six years of non-stop hits under her belt. Despite this, she was still seen by many as a singles artist who simply bends her sound to fit in with popular radio. However, when it came time for her sixth studio album, 2011’s Talk That Talk, she once again proved that she doesn’t follow trends; she sets them. The lead single ‘We Found Love’ is undoubtedly one of the most influential songs of the 2010s, acting as one of the earliest mainstream breakthroughs of EDM (along with the fourth single ‘Where Have You Been’). Regardless of your thoughts on EDM and its influence on pop music, no one can deny that ‘We Found Love’ was a massive pop culture moment that many artists would spend the first half of the decade trying to imitate. The album itself follows in Loud’s dance-pop footsteps, though this time there are more electronic and hip hop elements. The album is also far more overt in its sexual themes when compared to her previous work, with the one-two punch of ‘Cockiness (Love It)’ and ‘Birthday Cake’ (not the Chris Brown version, but that should go without saying) acting as extremely memorable hoe anthems. In terms of slower moments, the album includes one of my personal favorite ballads of hers, ‘Farewell,’ which is more of a power-ballad with its explosive chorus. Talk That Talk also lives up to its title as it once again sees Rihanna as a fierce badass in songs like ‘Roc Me Out,’ ‘Red Lipstick,’ and the title track. She is totally confident and in control throughout as she owns her position of pop royalty, similar to the braggadocious personas seen in Britney’s Blackout or the Pussycat Dolls’ Doll Domination. While I don’t find this album as strong as her previous three, I still think it’s a great record with enough memorable hooks and stupidly catchy melodies (looking at you, ‘Watch n Learn’!) to warrant a listen.
Unapologetic
Her seventh album in seven damn-near consecutive years, Unapologetic wraps up the relentless earlier years of Rihanna’s superstardom on a fittingly no-fucks-given way. The album is sonically similar to Talk That Talk with heavy dance, electronic, and hip hop elements, with more dubstep thrown in (it was 2012, after all). The album has killer club cuts such as ‘Right Now’ and ‘Jump’ alongside arguably her most successful ballads ‘Diamonds’ and ‘Stay,’ with Mikky Ekko. The album certainly does feel like a time capsule of this era of music, but once again Rihanna manages to shine through some admittedly outdated production. ‘Phresh Out the Runway’ sees her coming into her own as the fashion icon she would later become (and is a damn fun song to play while trying on outfits and pretending they look good) while ‘Numb’ and ‘No Love Allowed’ pay tribute to her island roots. Some of the album even sounds like a proto-ANTI with songs like ‘Get It Over With’ and ‘Loveeeeeee Song,’ with Future, foreshadowing that album’s chill and atmospheric production. The highlight of the album, in my opinion, is the masterpiece that is ‘Love Without Tragedy / Mother Mary,’ a dual song that doesn’t feel nearly close to its runtime of seven minutes. The song’s first half sees her playing up her tumultuous relationship (“What’s love without tragedy?”) while the second sees her praying to Mother Mary and Jesus, pondering how she ever became so big and how badly she wants to change (“Mother Mary, I swear I wanna change/ Mister Jesus, I’d love to be a queen/ But I’m from the left side of an island/ Never thought this many people would even know my name”). On a similar note, ‘Half of Me’ acts as a plea to listeners who only saw Rihanna as a party girl to understand she’s more than what the media makes her out to be (“You saw me on a television/ Setting fire to all the buildings/ Yeah I guess you saw me stealing/ But you have no idea what I’ve been needing”). Introspective songs like this are why I really think Rihanna’s discography is deeper than a lot of people give her credit for. The album has a perfect balance of tender moments like this while also having the hook-heavy fun that Rihanna is known for.
Like I said at the beginning of this post, ANTI deserves all the praise it gets, but I think it’s a shame that it’s the only Rihanna album most people take seriously. There are so many great songs in her whole discography that prove she was much more than a ‘singles artist.’ Putting all her songs on shuffle is a guaranteed great time that I’d recommend to any pop lovers. If you haven’t given her pre-ANTI work a listen, I highly recommend doing so. For everyone that has listened to her older albums, what are some of your favorite songs? In addition, what are your favorite Rihanna albums?
submitted by rageman2 to popheads [link] [comments]

DD - Patience is a Virtu

Well done. Somehow, against all odds, a large number of you autistic fucks have made some life changing gains on GME. This post is in no way encouraging you to sell your positions or even open new ones. Thats because I'm not a fiduciary advisor and know fuck all about what you should or shouldn't do. All I will say is welcome to all the new members out there and if there's one piece of advice I can give you, its to trust your gut.
Now lets get into it. This post is my DD that I wanted to share on $VIRT, not because I am recommending you to do anything, but because I enjoy researching shit because its fun and I figured this would help organize my thoughts.
So lets get into it. I'm sure most of you have noticed the new exposure this sub has been getting on a worldwide scale. If you've been here even since Dec. in 2020, you'd notice this sub has even gained over 6M subscribers in the last month. I'm not going to tell you I've been around since the start, I've just been lurking and a post or comment every once and a while since I started following a few years ago. The sub count really means fuck all to be honest, the real numbers that are important here are the #'s of new retail traders joining the markets while bringing in new money by doing so. Give this Reuters article a quick read (promise it will only take 5 minutes, 10 if you're a true retard): https://www.reuters.com/article/us-retail-trading-numbers-idUSKBN29Y2PW
For those who are lazy fucks who don't want to open the article: with no fee trading, retail traders have flooded the market. To what extent you may ask, and why the fuck does this matter? Well back in Jan 2020, before the March crash, retail made up ~17% of trades on the market. By July/August, this shot up to 25%. Some analyst in this article noted their prediction for 2021 is 30%+ of volume will be made up of retail. THE TREND IS INCREASING for those of you who couldn't pass your 2nd grade math class. So why did i even mention GME to start? Well according to an analyst from Piper Sandler, this past Wednesday set a new record for volume traded for US cash equities of 24.5 Billion . Thats volume traded, not a $ amount. Options volume also hit a record high in volume at 57.1 Million. For both stocks and options, this supposedly is double the record in volume traded in a single day from 2020, or triple in 2019. One last important #, its estimated amongst the top 6 brokers, there are 100 Million+ retail traders. 100 Million thats a fuck ton of regular Joes' and retards joining the game gambling away their $600 stimulus checks.
TLDR: Retail trading #s are going the fuck up, and fast. This in turn mean a fuck ton more volume traded on the market.
OK Cool. Why does this matter? Well aside from Melvin Securities (Melvin Capitals Market Makescum of the earth), there are other Market Makers that do the same thing (provide liquidity to brokers allowing autists like us to buy and sell stocks and options). Companies like $VIRT, Virtu Financial, that are publicly traded. Lets take a look at the breakdown of trading volume across market makers, Brokers, Liquidity providers etc:
https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/BjrX0/1/
$VIRT has showed a consistent increase in trading revenue and EPS since their IPO in 2015. This growth is due to various synergies on their platform from previous buyouts, volume spikes (due to volatility) and you guessed it, an increased amount of retail trading. According to their 2019 full year report, they supported approximately ~30% of all retail trading. This is up from 25% the previous year. https://s21.q4cdn.com/422114427/files/doc_financials/2019/aVirtu_2019_AnnualReport_Final.pdf
Ok so why does all this matter, if this trend in increased retail trading continues, that means more trading income for $VIRT. And turn, higher earnings. Why? This is because those Ask/Bid spreads you see when buying/selling are typically provided through market makers. They make money off of these spreads. 1 cent here or there, maybe a little more for wider spreads times millions of trades/day equals out to big money for them. An even bigger wet dream would be if Melvin Securities went under and that portion of the market making sector being open for the taking. Then again, that probably won't happen but regardless Fuck Melvin.
So what else? $VIRT has provided a $0.24 dividend for 22 consecutive quarters and also announced $100 million in buy backs on their Q3 report released in Nov 2020, also making a statement to "meaningfully enhance shareholder returns" with additional buybacks and dividends moving forward. And a shout out to the true gambling addicts who love earnings plays, $VIRT has earnings coming up on Feb 11th. Thats this Thursday. Lets even take a look at their revenue growth. According to their 2019 full year report, Virtu took in $1.5B in revenues. Fast forward to the first 3 quarters of 2020, that totals over $2.5B and we still even haven't seen Q4 results yet. While yes, the volume in March/April played a part in this, Q3 revenues were still over $650M, which is still over a third of the full 2019 year. Their current market cap is only ~$5.4B with a PE of 6.6. Talk about nice returns. Time to bet on the Casino instead sitting down at the fucking roulette table.
TLDR: More retail trading = more $$ for market makers like $VIRT
Positons: https://imgur.com/a/4QJA38m
Planning on converting to shares for long term holding with an eventual PT of $100 by end of 2021.
submitted by TheLevelHeadedGuy to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

My feedback on what ICX needs to do to get mainstream adoption

I love Icon, the technology and use case speak for themselves. I'm a marketing / consumer behavior guy, based on my experience with IconEX and IconBet here are some suggestions to improve the end-user side of things:
ICONex: Really good wallet, staking is super easy. The problem is with the p-rep organization. When you stake, you then choose P-Reps to vote for. But the P-Reps are listed in random order with no supplemental information. I get it, if you rank them by popularity then people will blindly vote for the top few and there is no communal value generated. But what if you categorized the p-reps by their vision / area? ICONbet could be under a "gambling" category, people who want to prioritize marketing like (P)eter-Rep would be under a "marketing" category, etc. Or just list some bulletpoints under each p-rep with this info. Its crazy to think that people are going to independently research all these p-reps, so make it as EASY as possible for people to know relevant info so they can make an informed choice. If the ICON community agrees marketing is the big issue, they should be able to easily identify and vote for p-reps who prioritize that.
Again on the p-rep selection, you can search for a p-rep by typing in their official name. But a lot of times there are aliases / different names and the search generates no results. Incorporate a keyword feature where if I type in Peter, (P)eter-Rep comes up, I shouldn't have to type in the name exactly right. How was I supposed to know he has parenthesis around the P in his name? Make it easy for me. He just launched Catena.One, I should be able to type that in and see the p-rep behind it. If I type in bet, IconBet should show up. Make it easy. This is the official ICON wallet, it needs to be as fine-tuned as possible.
For secondary token staking rewards, I like the idea, there is solid potential there. But the use case as presented is a little hazy for me. I'd love the ability to use those secondary tokens to vote for how the project / p-rep should perform. Maybe I have some of (P)eter's tokens and I have the ability to help advance and guide his marketing efforts by voting or using those tokens. Say I have some ICBX or TAP tokens and ICONbet releases a poll, "what feature should we add next, etc.". Let me vote and participate, I want to help. The ICON community wants to help. Let the people have control and visibility into the projects, thats the ICON way.
DAPPS: Why isn't there a direct way to see / visit the DAPPs from IconEX? MIW has this feature and is a necessity imo, how else are people going to learn about and grow the community if they don't know what DAPPs exist and how to access them? Speaking of DAPPs
ICONbet: I was so pumped to try this for the first time and man there is so much more potential there. These DAPPS need to be as user-friendly as possible to build a following and grow. Why can't I bet on sports here, why can't I bet on other international things? Blackjack, Roulette and Dice are great but thats not even scratching the surface. Betting is going to skyrocket in the USA as it becomes legalized, position yourself accordingly to take advantage of that trend and grow the ICON ecosystem with a top-notch betting / gambling DAPP.
Coinbase: Agreed Coinbase isn't needed for ICX to succeed, but man oh man would it help. What is the best way to get a good chance at a listing? Publicity, marketing. Make people aware of the possibilities of Icon. The brand already looks dope, the name is easy to remember, just invest in some digital marketing and PR to let the public know about Icon and pretty soon, people will want to buy it. That is what gets Coinbase interested. They don't care about Rosetta if they don't think there will be a market for a coin. Let's show them the market not only exists but is about to explode.
If any of my info is wrong, my apologies. Just a marketing man trying to help ICON grow to see its full potential. The technology is there, what isn't there is the marketing and user-friendly aspects. Fine tune those and 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀
Edit: if you're someone skilled in developing DAPPs, and ideally passionate about Icx, shoot me a DM. I've got a business proposition for you.
submitted by Whig_Party to helloicon [link] [comments]

Do NOT buy Quantumscape (QS) - unless you just want to gamble with -EV

Ok so this post mirrors my post from almost 6 months ago when I posted about Hertz the day it reached its top of 6+ dollars after already announcing bankruptcy (it went from like 50 cents to 6+ dollars). You can see my submitted post history for that. Since this is an options post, I'll talk about something that rarely anyone ever talks about but impacts options pricing - the borrow rate - so that it's an informative post too even if you aren't interested in QS.
For the record I'm posting this as QS is 105 AH 12/21 so I can look back in 3-6 months. First, I'm not short QS so I don't want to hear some comment below saying you are just desperate because you are taking a huge loss. I'm posting this as a warning/advice just like when I posted about Hertz because at this point it's actually extremely negative expected value (EV) to go long QS through call options/shares.
First the IV is ridiculously high. There could be many situations that play out in which you can buy calls, it goes up 10%, and you will end up down. Second, one of the reasons for why anyone would buy QS is to collect the borrow rate, which is insane. However, most brokers don't give the customer this borrow or if they do, don't give the full borrow. For RH, you get none of this borrow, so this alone makes this very -EV at these price points. Finally, the most obvious reason, it's quite clear this stock is overvalued as it won't even have any revenue or sales for a few years. It's similar to NKLA actually (look at that chart when it briefly hit 90 earlier this year).
The stock is undergoing a short squeeze with high borrow rates, which is causing this spike, but historically these stop pretty fast and when it pulls back, all those calls/shares will lose value. There's like plenty of examples of this just this year, and the goal is obviously not to buy at the top. The main issue is also when it pulls back, it doesn't usually EVER bounce back up. See the NKLA bagholders at 90, HTZ bagholders at 6, KODK bagholders at 55, etc.
In the case you just wanted to just gamble, it's actually not a bad stock to purely gamble. However, there are plenty of better gambles out there that should return a higher expected return. Second, gambling is fine but we all know what happens when you play roulette in the long run. Sure you can hit that 23 number you bet on, but the more you push it, the quicker all of that goes away. So that's why this is a fair warning. You can gamble and you might win even for a short time period, but most will be left holding the bag. And when they hold the bag, they hold it all the way down.
I also wouldn't outright short this right now unless you want to sell a long dated call spread/naked OTM long-dated call. As I mentioned, the IV and borrow are extremely high, so a short term long puts strategy will have an extremely tough time printing. Furthermore, it's somewhat hard to short the stock with this high borrow, and that borrow is embedded in puts too. However, longer term, it's clearly a short at these levels, but you have to do it in some more unique ways as I mentioned above.
Finally, if QS spikes up from this 105 AH number, I guarantee you there will be some idiots who are gonna be posting here in the comments section about how they were right/I was wrong (see the HTZ comments). I'm ok with that. That means I didn't call the top exactly perfectly, but as I said, you can revisit this post in 3-6 months. Ironically on HTZ, the day after I posted, it did actually go up that day (to 6+), got a lot of shit comments, and I'm sure 100% of those guys lost money since it has never even seen anywhere close to that price ever again as the next day was the top. So same situation here. Just a fair warning. If anything, at least you learned how borrow rates affect options pricing and short positions.
submitted by infinitelimits00 to options [link] [comments]

Do Capitalists actually take risks?

A common argument used by supporters of capitalism is that risk-taking should be rewarded. When someone buys stock in a company, and then receives dividends on that stock, they have made money without actually doing any work. They have literally 'spent money to make money'.
So long as it is legal to have ownership share in a company without also working for said company, it will be possible to turn money into more money without labor. To profit entirely off of Capital. This is why this ownership model is central to Capitalism, and indeed defines it. One can have trade and markets without being Capitalist (hence Market Socialism being a thing), but one cannot be Capitalist without this ownership model.
Most non-Capitalists point to this as a flaw of Capitalism, since it allows those with wealth to increase their own wealth without actually doing labor. The retort is that they are 'taking risk' by investing money.
This, however, is false. Or at least misleading, since different people will have different ideas about what constitutes 'risk'.
As a simple scenario, imagine a man who makes $10 an hour. He will earn $400 in a typical workweek. This works out to about $20000 a year, assuming two weeks off from sickness/vacation/etc. Now imagine another man who makes millions a year.
These two men walk into a casino, and each bids $500 at a roulette table. The man who makes $10 an hour is clearly taking a very big risk - he's betting more than a week's worth of income - but you'd be hard-pressed to argue that the multi-millionaire is taking the same risk.
The rich man could bet and lose a hundred thousand dollars, and his lifestyle will almost certainly not be impacted. The poor man could potentially lose his home if he loses just that $500, especially if he's living paycheck to paycheck.
This is why the 'risk' argument is bogus. Losing money is damaging because money buys food, water, and shelter. Once you have enough wealth to ensure you'll always have your basic needs met, additional wealth has significantly less benefit to you.
Now one could argue that if a wealthy person was literally betting all their wealth on a single investment, then they could potentially go homeless and hungry from it. And this is true, but this scenario is incredibly uncommon ('diversify your portfolio' is basically investing 101) and doesn't negate the criticism of the wealthy being able to turn money into more money without labor or any actual risk.
Of course, this is coming from a consequentialist perspective, since the argument is essentially: "for the poor man, the consequences of losing $500 are worse, therefore he is taking more risk with the $500 bet". If you are not a consequentialist, then this criticism would not apply. You could easily argue that "losing $500 is losing $500 no matter who you are" and there's no logical reason to go with my interpretation over yours.
But most humans are consequentialists, and indeed (from what I can tell) most Capitalists. Most Capitalists on this forum, at least by my reckoning, are Capitalists precisely because they think it leads to better outcomes: lifting people out of poverty, encouraging innovation, etc.
It seems to me, then, that to be Capitalist requires either acknowledging that this is a problem but insisting that the other positive outcomes make up for it, or else insisting you aren't a consequentialist - and therefore arguing that you support Capitalism despite the fact that humanity as a whole would be better off without it.
Thoughts?
submitted by KagedScorpion to CapitalismVSocialism [link] [comments]

TIFU for falling for a guy on Tinder during Covid and got scammed out of life savings

TLDR: Met a guy on Tinder while lonely and depressed. We talked every day on the phone, but couldn't meet because of Covid. He invited me to join him on a Chinese investing app. I didn't question him because I was attached and blindly trusted him. Invested my entire life savings and took debt into the app to invest into "our future". I now can't withdraw that money and also found out I was catfished. Heart-broken, depressed, and will probably be homeless. The guy doesn't know this, and is still taking to me trying to get me to invest more.

I met a guy on Tinder, he seems really nice and smart. We quickly moved to talking every day on the phone. He would frequently send me pictures of himself or what he's doing. We also started talking about hobbies and one of our common ones was investing. He lured me with screenshots of this Usdt investing / betting app, and all the hundreds of thousands of dollars he made.
I wanted in since he said that he analyses the data, and only bets when he has good data. He was very dodgy when I kept asking him what the data he is using is - and only saying he will teach me later down the road. So the betting app (yes he marketed as investing USDT, but it's purely betting roulette) has multiple tiers with min balance requirements - 0,20k,50k,150k. Over time , I made 10-15% principle each time I traded with him, so eventually I invested over 150k into the apo because he convinced me that the larger players have more steady volume for analysis. I'm so dumb, and it was all through bitcoins to an app that has no information other than the customer service whatsapp that takes my questions and deposits. He even encouraged me by continually matching my deposits in order to 'help' me earn more. He was such a sweet talker, painting the future we could have together traveling and buying houses around the world.
A couple hiccups - I tried to outsmart the system and placed bets on 4 different options, and since they had positive odds at the 150k tier, would have been guaranteed profits. This caused me to get flagged for money laundering where I then I had to cough up 3% of my balance as a penalty fee within 24 hours or risk my account getting frozen forever. Fine, I thought it was unreasonable, but my fault. I scrambled, asked for favors, and borrowed money to pay the 17k ransom (yes the amount grew with my and his deposits combined). After that resolved, we were ready to make some big money in Dec - since my tinder date says Dec has historically great data for betting. He also showed me a promotion the app was running where we could wnter as a couple, and win prizes depending on how much we deposited. The only one we were eligible for was the 500k deposit one, and of course, we both just needed 1-200k more to finish the challenge and win "free" money. I never should have agreed to this either, but my tinder date's optimism won me over. Now we are stuck in another drama where my tinder date convinced me to participate in the couples challenge, where if we deposit 500k each, we get rewarded 125k. Too good to be true? Yes, but I was blinded. Little did I know as well, that if you don't complete the challenge by the end of 2020, apparently the penalty is losing 3% of the balance every day until you lose 60%.
I'm at such a lost in trying to borrow more funds, as my tinder date continues to pressure me and guilt trip me as he helps me contribute tens of thousands in as well. It's a scam, I'm pretty sure he can manipulate the numbers. The pivot point that woke me up, was when I was forced to ask friends to lend me money (and that they were also going to get loans to help me out). In order to not screw over friends I decided to do more due diligence again. Then I found it, I finally found some of the pictures he used in our WhatsApp conversations online from a chinese real life people photo bank. I haven't revealed that I know about the scam and am still in conversation, but I'm still trying to figure out how i can possible get my money back on this.
I've literally deposited my life savings as well as took out loans and debt to try to complete the deposit challenge. I'm going to be in debt and living paycheck to paycheck for awhile. This is a good lesson - I was emotionally blinded by a guy that would sweet talk with me every day, asking about me, and caring about me. I so efficiently found money to deposit into this scam app, without doing my normal due diligence because I was blinded by .. love? I feel like crap and am just hoping to resolve this well somehow...
Update: I really appreciate the support from redditors here, and I hope this provides a story that others can remember that getting catfished sucks. I've contacted police, IC3, FTC, and a couple of lawyers. The only advise is to see if police will investigate, but I was told chances are slim to none because the culprit is probably not in the country. I'm still chatting with my scammer, and am so far holding family troubles as an excuse to not have any more money to give. He's very persistent though, and still has that silver tongue. Honestly I'm not sure what kind of outcome I am hoping for by not simply blocking him at this point.
submitted by aspiring-minimalist to tifu [link] [comments]

Final year med student here. Supplements in my opinion everyone should take (feedback appreciated).

My approach: All of the supplements I take are naturally occurring in our bodies and are required for our cells to function. Thus, by definition, I am supplementing and not “adding”. Almost all of these have real, clinical evidence backing up their usefulness.
Why I don´t take supplements that are not naturally occurring in our bodies. (feedback appreciated): I personally am against "unnatural" supplements (e.g. ashwagandha, bacopa, etc.). A well-researched supplement (rare) that has been proven by multiple independent research groups (rare) to provide benefits without major adverse effects (rare), given it comes from a reliable manufacturer ensuring dosage and purity and consistency and quality (very, very rare), might indeed have (some of) the benefits a pharmaceutical drug has. For example, ashwaghanda might be one of the few that fits that description given it is from a reliable manufacturer that can ensure dosage, purity, consistency, quality. (I bet over 90% of manufacturer can´t and don´t.)
Here is a list of the supps I take.
I wrote an article about why exactly I chose these supplements. You can read about my reasoning and the benefits of these supplements (and other tips, tricks, dangers, things to be aware of) in detail here.
I also did a ranking of these and a cost-benefit analysis at the end.
I know there are many antioxidants in my stack. Although I think the dosages are low/reasonable, what do you guys think? I am open for any criticism, feedback, different opinions. Humanity is all about collective learning :)
How much does it cost me? I do take all of them at rather low dosages, which costs me about 400$ per year. I for myself have 35 pillboxes. Every 5 weeks it takes me about 1 hour to prepare all of my drugs&supps for the following 5 weeks. I then swallow all of them with a glass of water, two times per day. This takes no thought and time whatsoever. However, if I had to take all of my supplements individually, it would take forever and suck.
Usefulness: Some for sure, some maybe, for some it depends. Harm/Risk: None?
Some of them are very important and everyone should take them (magnesium, Omega-3´s, vitamin D), whereas some others might lead to a favorable change in equilibria in a variety of processes (i.e., have a slight benefit). And at the end of the day 1$ is 1$. Depending on our diet and endogenous synthesis, supplementing with some of these might in fact be useless and superfluous, but because they are naturally occurring in our bodies, adding them at reasonable dosages at least does no harm (e.g. screw up drug metabolism, hepatic and renal injury, off-target effects). Given that our dosage is reasonable and our manufacturer reliable.
Personally, though I do not like to play roulette when my health is at stake. When it comes to supplements, I try to avoid anything that is not naturally found in our bodies, but rather I opt for stuff for which there is no guessing game as to all of these unknowns (safety, efficacy, off-target effects, drug metabolism, potency, purity, consistency, quality).
submitted by MoralBioenhancement to Biohackers [link] [comments]

I live in a small mining town in the mountains of Colorado. Someone is building a massive casino nearby, Pictures Included

I grew up in a small mountain town named Eureka. It was founded in the late 1800s during the gold rush, but after the mines dried up the town began its slow descent into decay. Half the houses are empty or abandoned now.
You can see a picture of the kind of houses here in Eureka:
First house
Second house
When a massive construction project began nearby, it was the talk of the town for weeks. Why would they build something in a sleepy dying town like Eureka? It wasn’t until my sister Selene talked to a few construction workers that we discovered they were building a casino.
A casino up in the mountains, over two hours away from Denver. None of us could understand why they’d chosen here of all places. After a few months of work, the casino was done.
I took a picture of the town with the completed casino in the background to the right. The ten-story-structure sticks out like a sore thumb off in the distance.
Town+Casino
After the casino opened, they hired a few dozen members of the town, offering high paying jobs to work as dealers or cleaning staff. I was already employed as a firefighter, but my sister Selene got a job as a blackjack dealer. She’s a widow with two young kids, so the paycheck was a real lifesaver.
Still, something about the situation seemed too good to be true. The jobs over there paid far too well, and the management was far too accommodating. The fire station where I work is located high on a hill overlooking the town, so I began watching the casino from a distance each day.
I had initially thought that the casino was located in a terrible location, but I was apparently wrong. True, Eureka was hours from any major city, but despite that, a bus full of people arrived every morning and left every evening.
One night I was over at my parent’s house and had dinner with Selene and her kids. I asked her about her experience as a dealer.
“It’s Ok,” she said. “Just a little boring I guess.”
“Boring?” I asked. “I’m surprised you don’t have your hands full.”
“Why’s that?” she asked. “It’s like you said, Eureka’s too small. I never have people playing cards. The casino is almost always completely empty.”
I wasn’t sure what to make of that. If the place was always empty, what happened to the people who I’d seen arriving on buses? “I’ve been keeping an eye on the building,” I said. “A bus full of people typically arrives around 9 AM every day.”
“Really?” she asked, looking confused. “If that’s true, I’ve never seen them.
“I can see it from the fire station,” I said. “If you head out for a smoke break at 9 AM, you’ll probably see them arriving.”
“Interesting,” she said. “I’ll do that. If they’re being processed for their organs or something, I’ll let you know.” She laughed.
“Har har,” I said sarcastically.
The next night she sent me a text calling me over. When I arrived, she was nearly breathless with excitement.
“Orin, You were right,” she said. “A big group of people did arrive, but they didn’t walk into my part of the casino. Instead, they all walked into an elevator at the back of the building. I’m not sure where that goes.” She looked thoughtful. “It was weird. They looked… How can I say it? Desperate? Something about the whole situation was very off. I’m gonna check out the elevator tomorrow.”
I told her to be careful, though, to be honest, I was excited to hear about what she discovered. When I visited my parent’s house the next night, I found her two kids there alone. They told me that Selene had never returned from work.
I called all her friends, then all our neighbors, but no one had seen her since she left for work that morning. Our conversations regarding the casino flooded my mind, then a plan began to form.
Early the next morning I walked across town in my nicest pair of jeans and a button-up shirt. I pushed through the door to the casino and saw that Selene wasn’t lying. The place was all but deserted. Three dozen slot machines crowded the walls surrounding a few tables interspersed throughout the floor of the casino. The only players in the whole building were Bob and Donald, two locals.
I walked up to a nearby table where Bridget, a girl I’d gone to high school with, was shuffling cards. She broke into a grin when she saw me. “Hey Orin, you here for a few rounds of blackjack?”
“I wish,” I said. “No, I’m here to ask about Selene. She never made it home last night.”
Bridget’s expression darkened. “Really? Have you asked around?”
“I already called around. Have you seen her?”
She shook her head. “No, our schedules rarely line up. I’ll be sure to let you know if I--” Her eyes focused on something behind me, and she cut herself off.
I turned around to see the casino’s pit boss watching us both. He was a tall thin man in an impeccably clean black suit. When I turned back towards Bridget, she was looking down at the table and shuffling cards absent-mindedly.
“Well, if you hear anything, let me know,” I said.
She nodded, so I turned around and headed for the pit boss. I stuck out my hand. The temperature of his hand was so hot that I had to pull my hand away after a few seconds.
“Have… have you seen my sister Selene?” I asked. “She hasn’t been seen since her shift here yesterday.”
He smiled. “Sir, this floor is for players. You’re more than welcome to head to the tellers for chips, but barring that I’m afraid I’ll have to ask you to leave.”
I stared at him for a long second before stalking towards the door. When I looked back, he was talking with Bridget.
I checked my watch. 8:55 AM, just as I’d planned. I walked around the back of the building and waited as the morning bus pulled around the building. I waited for the telltale hiss of the opening doors and the sound of people descending before I rounded the corner and joined the crowd. None of them paid any particular attention to me as I walked with them into the casino.
The crowd walked through a side door down a hallway to an elevator. Small groups of people entered the elevator as the rest of us waited for our turn. I shot a glance at the casino patrons, surprised at their diversity. There seemed to be people from all different countries and ethnicities. I heard one speaking Japanese and another speaking what sounded like an African language.
My turn came along with a few other patrons in the elevator. A sickly woman hobbled into the elevator beside me carrying an IV that was still connected to one of her veins. We piled in and rode up to the top.
The elevator rose for a few long seconds. I wasn’t sure what I would find, but I steeled myself for something horrible. The elevator’s speaker let out a TING, then the doors opened.
We all walked out onto what looked like a standard casino. Another few dozen slot machines ringed the walls, but on this floor, they were almost all occupied by customers. I took in the scene, confused at why they’d have a ground floor that was almost completely empty when this place was almost--
Selene was dealing cards at a nearby table.
I jogged over and sat down at an open seat. None of the players around me paid me much attention.
“Selene!” I said. “Are you OK? Did you spend the night here last night?”
Her eyes were glassy and confused. She looked up at me with a dumb expression and didn’t respond to my question.
“Selene?” I asked.
“What’s your bet?” she asked me. “This table is for blackjack players only.”
“I…” I trailed off, looking at the players around me. None of them were betting with chips of any kind. “What’s the minimum bet?” I asked.
“Three years,” she responded.
“Three years then,” I said, not knowing what that referred to.
Selene nodded, then began dealing cards. I shot a look down at my hand. King and a 9. Selene dealt out cards for herself, showing a 9. I stood, then leaned forward again. “Should I call the police? Are you--”
“Congratulations,” she said tonelessly.
An almost impossibly warm hand grabbed my shoulder. I spun to see the pit boss I’d spoken to earlier. He gave an impressed smile. “Orin, was it? I’m impressed, truly. Would you mind if I had a word with you?”
I shot a look back at Selene who was dealing the next round of cards. Then I got to my feet, balling my hands into fists. “What did you do to her?”
The pit boss clasped his hands behind his back. “Nothing more, and nothing less than what I’m going to do to you. That is, offer you the chance to play.”
“What the hell is that supposed to mean?”
The pit boss nodded his head towards a nearby slot machine. A woman in a wheelchair pulled a lever and watched the flashing numbers spin. They exploded in a cacophony of sirens and flashing lights. “WINNER WINNER WINNER!” The machine screeched.
The woman in the wheelchair put her feet on the ground and stood up on a pair of wobbly legs that had clearly never been used before.
“As in any other casino,” the pit boss said, “you must wager for the chance to win.”
“She... won the use of her legs?” I asked, feeling light-headed. “Wait,” I said. “I played blackjack just now. ‘Three years,’ Selene told me. What does ‘three years’ mean?” I asked.
“Three years of life, of course. Did you win?”
My mouth felt dry. “I-- Yes, I won.”
He smiled warmly. “Congratulations. I hope you enjoy them. I can tell you from personal experience that watching the decades pass is a bore. Give it some time and you’ll be back to spend them.”
I watched the pit boss’s face. He couldn’t have been more than a few years older than me, and I was in my early thirties. I looked around at the casino. No one was playing with chips of any kind. “So what?” I asked. “I won years of life. That woman won the use of her legs. What else can a person win here?”
“Oh, almost anything. They can win almost anything you can imagine.”
A cold feeling settled in my stomach. “And what do they wager?”
His eyes flashed with greed. “Almost anything. They can wager almost anything you can possibly imagine. Anything equal in value to the item they want in return.” He nodded towards a nearby roulette table.
A man stood by the table, cradling his hands. “Another finger,” he called out. He only had three fingers remaining on his left hand. As I watched, the ball came to a stop, and another finger disappeared from his left hand.
The pit boss extended his hands. “Feel free to try any of our games. Bet and win whatever you’d like.” He reached out and snatched my hand. A feeling of intense warmth passed up my arm to my chest. “There,” he said. “I’ve even given you some house money to get you started. An extra decade of life, on me.”
I ripped my hand away, staring at him in horror. Then I looked back at Selene. Something clicked in my mind. “You offered her the chance to play. What did she want?” I asked.
“Her husband,” the pit boss said. “Quite the sad story. He died two years ago. She wanted him brought back to her.”
“What did she wager?” I asked.
“She wanted the chance to win a soul, the most valuable object in existence. I’m sure you can imagine what she needed to wager for the chance to win it. What she wagered is unimportant. The important question is: What do you want, Orin?”
I stared at Selene with a flat expression. “I’m sure you can imagine.”
His eyes flashed with greed again. “How wonderful. The casino could always make use of another dealer. Feel free to make your wager at any one of our games; I’ll be eagerly awaiting the results of your night. Oh, and do take advantage of our waitresses. We always supply food and drink for ‘high rollers’.” He walked away.
I spent the next few hours trying to decide which game to play. I was going to be wagering my soul, so I wanted the highest chance possible. Slots and roulette were out. I’d done some reading online about counting cards, so I figured that blackjack gave me the best odds.
I walked up to Selene’s table and sat down. “Bet?” she asked with that same toneless voice. “Three years,” I said.
I spent the next hour or so doing my best to remember how to count cards. I knew that low cards added one to my count and high cards decreased it by one, but the casino used three decks. I had read something about how that was supposed to change my calculation, but I couldn’t quite remember how.
Every time I won a hand, I cursed myself for not putting everything on the line. Every time I lost, I breathed a prayer of thanks that I’d waited. And all the while, I kept track of the count.
I had lost fifteen years of life when the count finally reached +5.
“Bet?” Selene asked.
“I wager my soul so you can be free,” I said.
The table around me fell silent. Selene’s eyes flickered, but she showed no other emotion as she dealt the cards. I watched my first card, punching the air in excitement when I saw a Jack. My excitement turned to ash when my second card was a four. Fourteen.
I looked at her hand. One card was facedown, but the faceup card was a King. I swore loudly, staring down at my hands.
“Hit?” she asked. The entire table was silently watching me.
“Hit,” I said, not looking down. The table erupted in cheers. I looked down to see a 7 atop my two other cards. 21. Blackjack.
I looked at Selene who flipped over her facedown card to reveal a 9. 19. I won.
The glassy look left her eyes immediately. She looked around in surprise, then her eyes locked on mine. “Orin?” she asked, then almost immediately began to cry. The entire casino broke out in cheers.
I grabbed her hand and headed for the elevator. The doors had begun to close when the pit boss reached out with a hand to stop them.
“Congratulations,” he said, beaming. He seemed to be honestly excited.
“Shouldn’t you be upset?” I asked.
“Not at all. Casinos love it when we have big winners. It inspires the other players to make larger bets. I imagine I’ll gain two or three dealers before the night is through from your performance.”
“Great,” I said flatly. “Now let us go.”
“Not yet,” he said. “You didn’t just win, Orin. You got a blackjack. And blackjack pays out 1.5 times your bet. You won your sister’s soul and more.”
I stared, not sure what to say. “What are you saying? I won half a soul extra?”
The pit boss grinned wildly. “Just remember what I said. You’ll find living for decades and decades to be a boring experience. After a few centuries, you’ll be back to gamble that half a soul away. Congratulations!”
He removed his hand, and the elevator doors slammed shut.
I helped Selene back to her house. Her children were relieved. I watched them cry, then moved into the kitchen to start making dinner.
It’s been a few days since that experience. The casino is still out there, and buses full of people still arrive. I… I cut my hand pretty bad a few days later. When I checked it an hour later, it had already healed, no scar or anything. I’m not sure exactly what I won at that casino, but there’s no way I’m ever going back.
X
submitted by Worchester_St to nosleep [link] [comments]

Do NOT buy Quantumscape (QS) unless you just want to gamble with -EV

Ok so this post mirrors my post from almost 6 months ago when I posted about Hertz the day it reached its top of 6+ dollars after already announcing bankruptcy (it went from like 50 cents to 6+ dollars). You can see my submitted post history for that. Since this is an wallstreetbets post, I'll talk about something that rarely anyone ever talks about but impacts options pricing - the borrow rate - so that it's an informative post too even if you aren't interested in QS.
For the record I'm posting this as QS is 105 AH 12/21 so I can look back in 3-6 months. First, I'm not short QS so I don't want to hear some comment below saying you are just desperate because you are taking a huge loss. I'm posting this as a warning/advice just like when I posted about Hertz because at this point it's actually extremely negative expected value (EV) to go long QS through call options/shares.
First the IV is ridiculously high. There could be many situations that play out in which you can buy calls, it goes up 10%, and you will end up down. Second, one of the reasons for why anyone would buy QS is to collect the borrow rate, which is insane. However, most brokers don't give the customer this borrow or if they do, don't give the full borrow. For RH, you get none of this borrow, so this alone makes this very -EV at these price points. Finally, the most obvious reason, it's quite clear this stock is overvalued as it won't even have any revenue or sales for a few years. It's similar to NKLA actually (look at that chart when it briefly hit 90 earlier this year).
The stock is undergoing a short squeeze with high borrow rates, which is causing this spike, but historically these stop pretty fast and when it pulls back, all those calls/shares will lose value. There's like plenty of examples of this just this year, and the goal is obviously not to buy at the top. The main issue is also when it pulls back, it doesn't usually EVER bounce back up. See the NKLA bagholders at 90, HTZ bagholders at 6, KODK bagholders at 55, etc.
In the case you just wanted to just gamble, it's actually not a bad stock to purely gamble. However, there are plenty of better gambles out there that should return a higher expected return. Second, gambling is fine but we all know what happens when you play roulette in the long run. Sure you can hit that 23 number you bet on, but the more you push it, the quicker all of that goes away. So that's why this is a fair warning. You can gamble and you might win even for a short time period, but most will be left holding the bag. And when they hold the bag, they hold it all the way down.
I also wouldn't outright short this right now unless you want to sell a long dated call spread/naked OTM long-dated call. As I mentioned, the IV and borrow are extremely high, so a short term long puts strategy will have an extremely tough time printing. Furthermore, it's somewhat hard to short the stock with this high borrow, and that borrow is embedded in puts too. However, longer term, it's clearly a short at these levels, but you have to do it in some more unique ways as I mentioned above.
Finally, if QS spikes up from this 105 AH number, I guarantee you there will be some idiots who are gonna be posting here in the comments section about how they were right/I was wrong (see the HTZ comments). I'm ok with that. That means I didn't call the top exactly perfectly, but as I said, you can revisit this post in 3-6 months. Ironically on HTZ, the day after I posted, it did actually go up that day (to 6+), got a lot of shit comments, and I'm sure 100% of those guys lost money since it has never even seen anywhere close to that price ever again as the next day was the top. So same situation here. Just a fair warning. If anything, at least you learned how borrow rates affect options pricing and short positions.
submitted by infinitelimits00 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

A History of Glossier: Holiday Launches

Hi guys! This is a history of all of Glossier’s limited edition holiday launches with a little bit of background on how Glossier came to be. I might make a part two focused on their core launches and what put Glossier on the map or something that focuses on their various popups if you’d be interested in hearing about that! Also, most of my information in this post came from their blog Into the Gloss as well as various style magazine articles and I’ll have those sources linked throughout if you’d like to see more.

2014

In October of 2014, Glossier was born as an extension of Weiss’s incredibly popular blog, Into the Gloss. With their core four products - Skin Tint, Soothing Face Mist, Balm Dot Com, and Priming Moisturizer - Glossier’s initial launch was a massive success. This launch was called the Summer Edition Phase 1 Set, with plans for them to launch four new products every six weeks. Fun fact: Emily Weiss herself actually hand delivered many of the first orders on launch day!
That holiday season, the first limited edition set was released on December second: a “liquid foil” eyeliner duo for $28. If you click the link, you can see just how much Glossier’s aesthetic has evolved over the years. The two promotional photos for the liners were edgier and more chaotic, a far cry from the generally ethereal and emotionless photos used today.
Released in the shades silver and gold, the liquid liners were housed in black tapered plastic bottles. In the words of Weiss, she created this product because she was “so over the holiday red lip.” You can see the silver liner in action here from Digital Manager Rebecca Zhou’s holiday party look. Amusingly enough, Glossier’s tweet about their liners amassed exactly one like (everyone should hype them up right now - I bet they’d be so confused).

2015

For their 2015 holiday launch, Glossier had a set of six single use masks in each of their current mask formulas. The current Glossier calligraphy used in this year’s holiday launch was actually made in 2015 to house this set, called the Mask Duo Set. With a plush terry cloth headband tucked in every box, this retailed for $38 and is one of their less known releases. As a side note, if anyone has anything from this set please please please PM me - I want this so badly!!

2016

In 2016, Glossier released their iconic and now highly coveted Black Tie Set. Initially only sold as a set for $50, they later sold each item separately on December 6th. Housed in minimalistic white packaging with their iconic G embossed on the front and the remark “we’re all snowflakes”, the set was wrapped in a black satin bow and contained, in their own words,
The No. 1 Eyeliner in Graphite, a soft black that's universally flattering and easy to use for a flick or a smoky eye, conveniently with a smudging sponge at the end of the pencil ($16)
Haloscope in special-edition Moonstone, an opalescent glaze that's cooler-toned with flecks of pink and blue—glide on to the half-halo from the cheekbones to the brow bone, plus a little on the bridge of the nose and the Cupid's bow ($22)
#glossierpink nail polish ($12)
A lipgloss for a glassy (never gloppy), long-lasting finish ($14)
Here is a link to view the set on the site through the Wayback Machine.

2017

To my knowledge, Glossier didn’t release any special holiday launches in 2017 perhaps with the exception of the Phase 3 Set, which introduced the brand to the Body Hero line in September as well as Glossier You in October, though those weren’t for the holidays in particular.
However, they did release a number of unique sets for the holidays. They came out with the Cloud Paint Quad for $55, Balm Dot Com Trio for $23, Glossier Phase 1 Set for $40, and the Glossier Phase 2 Set for $40 as well. The Phase 1 Set, now known as The 3-Step Skincare Routine, included a full size Milky Jelly Cleanser, Balm Dot Com, and Priming Moisturizer. The Phase 2 Set included a Boy Brow, Gen G lipstick, and Stretch Concealer. Each set was packaged in a translucent pink sleeve with their brand name embossed on the front.

2018

2018 was the year of the infamous Glossier Mirror. The round mirror with a “You Look Good” decal on the bottom was irresistible for many Glossier fans and remains a cult favorite even today. Also [replacing the Phase 2 Set] permanently was the Makeup Set, which is still on the site, and features a Lash Slick, Cloud Paint, and Boy Brow. Also, here are some holiday campaign photos I found!
A sweet, candy colored, fruit themed campaign
Minimalistic florals and light pastels

2019

We probably all remember 2019, but last year, Glossier released the Skincare Edit for the first time, which featured miniatures of their Futuredew, Milky Jelly Cleanser, Rose BDC, Original BDC, Priming Moisturizer Rich, Super Bounce Serum, and headband for $50. With sustainable paper packaging and secured with their signature pink band, the set was a success. Buyers could also receive a BDC Scarf for free with a $60 purchase or buy it alone for $15. Glossier also launched two new sets: The Lipgloss Trio for $44, which remains on the site, and the Colorslide Trio for $47, which is similar to the Colorslide Duo still available.

2020

This year, Glossier has launched their BDC Roulette for $30, which gives the buyer three balms at random in cute gold packaging, the Limited Edition Gold Kit for $75, which features a gold plated G necklace in a pink pouch and a new gold lip gloss in a pink box embossed with the brand embossed in gold cursive, their signature Lip Gloss in Gold, a gloss with gold flecks, and relaunched the Skincare Edit for $50. They also released two pieces of GlossiWear merchandise. They created the bright red G Pal sweater for $40 and its counterpart, the G Pal Scarf for $25. Interestingly, six years ago, Into The Gloss wrote an article about the best gold lip glosses, which emphasized that they loved it because you could see your lips with just a hint of gold sparkle, and that’s exactly what their gloss does.

Some Interesting Things

Raymond Meier has shot a significant number of promotional photos for Glossier. It’s really cool to see which photos were used and which weren’t. Overall, his photography style is much grungier and chaotic than Glossier’s aesthetic but I do think I prefer his eclectic and evocative style, especially with the smeared Gen G’s. He also shot the photo that’s on the BDC scarf. Thoughts?
Another interesting designer is Leslie David, who has graphic, punchy designs from Glossier’s sticker sheets
I really enjoyed looking at Looks Studios take on Glossier Play, especially the video they featured. The website honestly looks like a child made it but the looks are absolutely stunning. I really wish Glossier had used more of their Euphoria-like photos considering Play was a sub launch and could be taken in a different design direction than the more minimalistic Glossier aesthetic.

My thoughts

As Glossier has grown, their holiday launches have seemingly gone from more thoughtful and curated to a ruthless cash grab, as this new gold necklace has shown. Though I don’t think any of their limited edition product launches were particularly noteworthy and seemed like kitsch at best, I feel the prices generally reflected that they were more for the Glossier novelty than anything else. As the years has gone on and Glossier’s cult-like following became more and more apparent, I think Weiss did what Weiss has always done best, which is follow the media. Weiss is an undoubted social media marketing ingenue and seeing a $5 Miami keychain valued at $80 or free postcards and stickers selling anywhere from $10-$20, how could she not feed into it? I don’t blame Glossier at all for capitalizing on their blind popularity, though it is disappointing. Regardless, I’m excited to see what they put out next and how the brand will continue to grow in the years to come. I have the utmost respect for Weiss and how she’s been able to grow the empire she has today.
This was so fun to write and if you guys want to see more about Glossier’s history, please let me know! If I missed anything, please tell me so I can fix it! It was a little hard to find definitive launches at times and I’m unsure if I got everything right. Also, I geeked out a little bit with my boyfriend about the launch of Glossier because they used primarily venture capital funding and my boyfriend’s private equity firm actually was going to work with one of the firms that funded Glossier. Thanks so much for reading!
submitted by syllocue to glossier [link] [comments]

Trading Subscriptions or other Paid Services

I used to be a Financial Advisor for a very brief period almost 10 years ago for Peter Schiff. At the time I was in my early 20s and liked a lot of what he said. He frustrates me a lot more now and fails to adapt accordingly. Anyhow, I now run junkiebonds.com. Mostly a website researching US macro and discussing the worst institution ever created: The Federal Reserve.
Here’s some quick advice for beginners and even further on up I’m sure.
I've seen an unbelievable amount of these advertisements in the last few weeks. I just came across a comment in this room about just beginning and who to trust for paid services.
This may seem counterintuitive but if you're just beginning in the stock market DO NOT buy anything for education or trading. All the material you need is available for free online. Investopedia and YouTube have everything.
If you're just beginning you need to educate yourself and make small purchases. Education is the easiest part of trading in the stock market. The hard part is educating yourself about yourself. I've seen a few beginners that trade frequently and have done very well - in all likelihood they'll eventually lose all of their gains(+95% chance at bare minimum).
Stay away from paid services that claim they can help you trade. 99% are bullshit. Only experienced individuals should use these services because those individuals most likely know the few real people or firms that actually provide value. Experienced traders use these services for insight, education, and to help their process. Beginners have other obstacles to deal with first before these would properly benefit them.
Fuck Tim Sykes, those raging bull fucks, and others. They're full of shit. They are just a salesman using flashy marketing. It doesn't mean they haven't ever done well themselves - I think Tim Sykes actually did - but they realize selling hope, making millions, along with a little education is not just more profitable but it also eliminates risk.
In my opinion, I believe I could start a very “successful” subscription service. It’s aggravating seeing these guys because fooling beginners is almost like shooting fish in a barrel. But I’m not going to start a business where 95% of profits are based off of fooling others with slick marketing.
If anybody comes across a service you may be interested in but aren’t sure of its validity, feel free to send it to me and I’ll provide my two cents.
I’m going to explain trading by summarizing how I go about it. I’m not a day trader - I’m not making multiple trades a day and I recommend you do not do that either unless you want to lose money.
Before joining Euro Pacific Capital I would make a few trades a day. 50% of my portfolio was for long term investments 1+ years and the other for my speculation. I was fortunate enough to begin these investments at end of 2008 and early 2009. The long term side would do well and my speculations did alright too. The problem was I had big goals and desires for more wealth even though I had almost doubled the 12500 in less than a year. This led me to abandon stock speculating/trading because gains were too small and slow. However, stock options provided the leverage needed and I thought I had a trading process that would work.
Btw... “back in those days” I was paying 5.99 to buy and then 5.99 again to sell every trade! In 2010 my commissions were well above 2gs.
Reflecting on it now my process was abysmal and I’m surprised I was able to hold up for time I did. I was making reckless trades but one in particular really boosted my confidence. I bought far OTM calls on VXX(volatility) that expired in a few days. It was only a 100 dollars or so.
The market got slaughtered the next day. My calls were up over 4000%. I was up 4,950 dollars at 1205pm and then 4,150 a few minutes later. I believe I exited with a return of just over 4,300% which was a close figure to the actual dollars I made.
Here’s one of the most important points I’ll make: a PROFITABLE trade does not make it a GOOD trade by any means. That’s still one of the largest returns I’ve ever had and certainly the quickest but it was foolish.
It’s like going up to the roulette table and placing money on any number. The outcome of the spin does not change the fact this is a bad decision. Do not fool yourself by thinking your gains are all good decisions or investments. The only way you can have a good bet playing roulette is if you have knowledge or insight which puts the odds in your favor. And the only way you can do that is through some illegal con I believe. However, the market is not roulette. It can be. It can be worse if you make it that way.
Moving on... A few months after the big gain I had steadily lost money and I was getting a bit frustrated ——-
understanding how your emotions impact your thought processes and decision making is fundamental. There’s no manual for this part because every tradeperson is different. Happiness can and will influence your decisions. For some people it may cause them to be less disciplined or open to taking a risk and for others it will do the opposite. Traders create a process to eliminate the effects emotions can have - a simple example is to set a stop loss on a trade so you aren’t trying to guess when or if should prevent further losses or risk it. It’s important for beginners to do this. Do not enter trades where the losses cause worry and stress and you have no idea whether or not to sell. I don’t always have pre determined actions when I trade these days but I’ve also been doing this for over a decade and there are trades where it’s not as important or just not a good strategy. Again, if you’re a beginner please do not do this.
Back to my frustration... I entered an abnormally large call option order attempting to make up some losses - another stupid and beginner mistake. Unfortunately, the next day my parents needed help moving to Florida from Iowa. I had a 5g option that expired in 4 days and I wasn’t at my computer so I put in an order to (stop)sell if it so happens to fall quite a bit. This stock was amazon and it just so happens a negative headline came out right before opening bell. I had no idea bc I was still sleeping and dealing with moving.
The option price was around 5.20 and I had 10. My stop was at 4.
At 1030am we were going out for lunch and I went to check my position.
I was down 4,700 dollars.... because I put a LIMIT at 3.85.
You see, On this trade I went through ETRADE for whatever reason and I knew these sleezy guys sell their order flow - oh, btw Robinhood also sells their stock option orders but it’s really only important for a very small% of ppl - basically ETRADE profits from selling orders to other brokers who then complete your trade. So if these guys can see a price quickly drop and pop back up they’ll execute your order at worst price and then sell it for a profit a second later. Free money.
I was trying to limit any excessive scalping by putting a limit but amazon dropped quickly so E*TRADE of course did not get my order executed. If they were an honest and customer first company the order would’ve been executed and I wouldn’t have lost thousands of dollars. However, ultimately it is my fault and once again a stupid trade.
Trading is different from investing. Being an advisor certainly doesn’t make you a good trader. Advisors are typically there to plan long term investments and get to know their client so they’re able to adjust the risk in their portfolio accordingly.
A year or so after amazon I was working for Peter Schiff. He had really exploded in popularity because his predictions about the housing bubble all came to fruition. As an advisor you can’t trade. I was only there for a year because my mother was diagnosed with pancreatic cancer and I left to be with her. I had to save funds and for a few years after didn't trade either.
These days I'm back trading but its much different. I enjoy macro research and writing so i use this to my advantage. In 2020, I made around 40 trades total. Some of these are still open. Most of my trades are options and last a few weeks to months but two open positions don't expire until Jan 2022. Last year I made a return of 135%. I made a few huge mistakes and one out of laziness. Earlier in the year I was up 200%. I believe my process is solid but also needs improvement.
I try to limit my trades and find areas I'm most confident in. I also recommend you do not make hasty decisions. MISSING TRADES can be hard but it's a much better result. 135% really isn't that great of a gain considering how well the market did and the style of my trading. I missed many trades I was really confident in and thought were easy bc I have a strategy that may require 100% of my proceeds into Few positions. It sucks knowing I should've and could've easily had a 400/500% year if I chose to be aggressive. But I stick to my game plan because I'm confident later this year or next my returns will be multiple 1000s of percent. Maybe I'm wrong. We will see. I do best when Im unbelievably confident in an outcome and yet able to remain patient. I find I can do better or much worse if I change these.
My friend that's a girl did better than me because she bought her first and only stock this year which was Tesla. Does it suck underperforming your beginner girl friend having been in this trade for 10 years?
Absolutely.
But all of that noise must be drowned out lol. Everybody has to find their own way and what works best for them. I don't use reddit too often but for some reason I received an invitation to this board and joined tonight. I figured I'd share my thoughts and story and I hope this helped. I didn't proofread this.
My website is junkiebonds.com and you can find me on @Twitter at @junkiebonds - I started both in 2020 but am just really beginning to take off.
I'm always willing to help anybody with questions. Thanks for reading
submitted by 9Basel9 to MoonGangCapital [link] [comments]

Robinhood can be a gambling platform, but it's not and removing it or regulating it will exacerbate the divide between the wealthy and the rest of the U.S.

Hi everyone,
Lately I've been reading and watching on the news about Robinhood and I just wanted to give my two cents as somebody who actually researches Gambling disorder in the United States. My goal in this post is to hopefully encourage people on WSB to become politically active in preventing the regulations or removal of certain aspects that Robinhood allows on its investing platform. First, let me define some terms from the Gambling disorder field:
In this post I will address a few arguments at Robinhood. The first is regarding the "gambling" nature of investment that Robinhood purportedly encourages. The second is that the average investor needs to be "protected" because they lack the information and knowledge to participate on the app.
When I first downloaded Robinhood, I was skeptical at first and proceeded to uninstall and reinstall it multiple times before I deposited $350 to invest in stock. The app provided me a "scratch-off" with my first deposit that rewarded me with my first stock (some medical company). That was the only time that event occurred. If we look at my prior definition of gambling, technically that is not a form of gambling. I placed nothing of value on this random outcome. If the actual act of investing in stock is gambling this leads to an interesting analogy regarding trading platforms, not just Robinhood.
Stocks are the game (roulette, blackjack, craps), Robinhood and trading platforms are the dealers (giving information on the rules of the game and how much it costs to place a bet), and the liberal market is the casino.
In this analogy everybody is in the Casino, and if you don't play the game you stand to lose regardless as your money loses value to inflation. Even worse, if the casino folds the people that didn't cash out or were fully invested in the casino never collapsing (The Great Depression, the recession of 2008 the coronavirus recession) can stand to lose everything even if they didn't participate (regular person that was laid off) or were placing safe bets (ETF's Blue chip stocks etc).
The Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, William Galvin, is addressing the wrong issue by suing Robinhood. What should be addressed is the reasons that people even participate in Robinhood or in any trading platform. The average individual doesn't understand the market and the United States does not address this ignorance by providing information on how to properly invest for retirement or provide a welfare structure that protects against poverty as individuals become unable to participate fully in the economy due to injury, developmental disability, age, discrimination or lack of access to the "free" market. To claim that people on Robinhood "gamble" for excitement or risk is reductive. People invest their money on Robinhood for the potential accumulate life changing "tendies" that will protect them from the eventuality that they will be unable to participate in the economy and the government will not insulate them from the fiscal impact an individual will (not if) have to deal with in regards rising medical cost for their healthcare and any other services they would require in order to lead a normal life. If William Galvin is actually concerned about the "gamefying" of investment, he should focus on regulating Wall Street and the Banking sector, because last time I checked investors on Robinhood invest with their own money, not the money of other people.
The argument that the average investor isn't informed also leads to more issues that I guarantee the government doesn't want to address or even ask because it would require an expansion of the welfare state and higher taxes on companies and individuals. If the average American is too dumb to invest using Robinhood that what is the solution? The U.S. government has always fought any sort of government guaranteed income or services to insulate an individual against against insolvency from the free market as can be seen by the desire to privatize almost all forms of government programs such as Social Security, Medicare, Food Stamps and Medicaid. This has already occurred with certain programs at the federal level such as HUD which doesn't do anything to help people get affordable housing and the drastic reduction in funding for colleges and universities especially after boomers were done getting their degrees for essentially free.
So lets examine what the average person has to understand in the American economy,
So the average American is suppose to navigate all of the aforementioned areas with little to no government assistance. But Robinhood should be regulated, makes sense. Let's not even talk about that most Americans read at about an 8th grade level and have a tough time understanding that a quarter pounder is less than a one third hamburger...
"Why the third pound hamburger failed: One of the most vivid arithmetic failings displayed by Americans occurred in the early 1980s, when the A&W restaurant chain released a new hamburger to rival the McDonald’s Quarter Pounder. With a third-pound of beef, the A&W burger had more meat than the Quarter Pounder; in taste tests, customers preferred A&W’s burger. And it was less expensive. A lavish A&W television and radio marketing campaign cited these benefits. Yet instead of leaping at the great value, customers snubbed it. Only when the company held customer focus groups did it become clear why. The Third Pounder presented the American public with a test in fractions. And we failed. Misunderstanding the value of one-third, customers believed they were being overcharged. Why, they asked the researchers, should they pay the same amount for a third of a pound of meat as they did for a quarter-pound of meat at McDonald’s. The “4” in “¼,” larger than the “3” in “⅓,” led them astray. --Elizabeth Green, NYT Magazine, on losing money by overestimating the American Public Intelligence."
The REAL QUESTION is what responsibility does the government have to insulate the average American from an economy that by its very nature is predatory, especially when the argument set forth by William Galvinson is that the public doesn't understand how to invest on Robinhood. Especially since the government has told the public from day one to take care of themselves as they get older through investing instead of expecting the government to provide assistance. By removing or regulating Robinhood, the fungibility of the average American's dollar will drop in value because they are prevented from another avenue of wealth accumulation, which research shows (at least for those in poverty) they turn to gambling as a means of wealth accumulation because even though the return on a gamble is less it is technically even since their dollar is also worth less.
I think I may have gone on a rant, sorry.
TL; DR,
Please buy me some tendies William Galvin, because I like to be wined and dined before I GET FUCKED!
Robinhood isn't gambling. Robinhood just provides a service to investing on Wall Street, the actual gambling is our devotion to supply side economics which is the original, STONKS ONLY GO UP 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
Also, if we are going to start regulating Robinhood because of the actions of a minority (WSB) then we should start regulating other industries that are WAY more predatory and impact a larger amount of the U.S. such as, payday loans, guns, pharma industry, surprise medical bills from emergency rooms, childcare, prison industry, bail industry etc. I bet you the cost to the U.S. economy from those industries is way more than anything Robinhood has done.
Positions: SAVE at 18.45 67 shares; and TQQQ 5 shares at 174.71
submitted by TankMainOW77 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

what should i bet on roulette video

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Should I just bet all at once in Roulette? In other words: Any time you try to make money,there is a chance to lose it. Consider to take into account these three points: 1) Profits. Define how much you want to earn. At first, you should establish low amounts of money. You can imagine how the layout of numbers on a roulette table, both online and live – has an impact on the most common roulette numbers we choose to bet on too. In a land-based casino, for instance, the number 3 is harder to reach from most table positions than 17 or 36. The basics of this betting strategy are simple: each time you place a bet and you lose, you should repeat the same bet but with 2x the money. By doing so, you are guaranteed that you will break break even and recoup all your roulette losses as soon as you win just one bet. You Should Bet Big in Roulette If You’re Using the Martingale System. The Martingale gets a bad rap. No, it won’t help you overcome the long-run house edge of roulette. But it can be an entertaining way to play. It will also improve your probability of being a small winner during a short gambling session. With one exception, all bets on typical roulette tables have the same house edge. This means that over the long-term, the results will be the same, no matter what you bet. Let’s put it into context: You could bet one dollar on a single number for 3,700 different spins. This means you will have wagered a total of $3,700. Common roulette strategies Martingale. Place a small bet on a color that provides 2x rewards. If the bet is lost, you double the previous bet on the same color. Continue the process until there is a win, this gives back all losses, and then you return to your original bet amount. How many numbers should you bet in roulette? Well, it depends. All numbers on the roulette wheel each have their pros and cons It would help if you decided whether your position in the game calls for betting few or many numbers in the game. Roulette is an incredibly well-balanced game, so you might find it very difficult to exploit “holes” in the game. One should not decide to bet many or few numbers without taking into account other aspects of his betting method. The bet selection is an integral part of a roulette system and can only be evaluated in relation to the other aspects of the roulette strategy one plans to follow. In a game of roulette the house should keep at least 2.70% of all the bets players make over time. The casino has no need to cheat the players. ... you should always play a double dozen bet. If you want to bet more aggressively, then instead of betting more money on your double dozen, you can cover all 36 of the red and black numbers. So the best roulette bet is betting on areas of the wheel. In fact it’s the only way to change the odds of winning at the table. But there’s a catch. If your roulette system was accurately predicting the winning number (or winning area of the wheel), you will have increased your odds of winning, and would be profiting.

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